Tennis · W35 Aldershot · 29/07, 11:00
Prediction: Emily Appleton vs Katarina Kuzmova
Team pages: Emily Appleton · Katarina Kuzmova
Prediction summary
Winner
Emily Appleton
Katarina Kuzmova
Estimated games
21.2
Recent form · 10 last
Emily Appleton
4-6 (W-L)
Katarina Kuzmova
6-4 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Emily Appleton
1–0
Katarina Kuzmova
(1 last)
- 22 Jan2-0 13-6W
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Emily Appleton 1500 · Katarina Kuzmova 1506
| Emily Appleton | Katarina Kuzmova | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 49% | 51% |
| Market | 50% | 50% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Head-to-head: Emily Appleton 1–0 Katarina Kuzmova (1).
- Note: Emily Appleton makes many double faults (7.1/match).
- Note: Katarina Kuzmova makes many double faults (6/match).
Statistics
| Emily Appleton | Katarina Kuzmova | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 50% |
| Win % · Hard | 50% (2) | 50% (6) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.9-1.3 | 1.2-1.1 |
| Games (G-P) | 9.8-10.6 | 10.1-9.9 |
| Aces | 5.8 | 3 |
| Double faults | 7.1 | 6 |
| 1st serve % | 68.9% | 69.6% |
| Break % | 43.8% | 53.1% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.2
H2H · Emily Appleton 1 – 0 Katarina Kuzmova (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Emily Appleton 1–0 Katarina Kuzmova
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 22/01/25 ITF W35 Esch/Alzette | 2-0 | 13-6 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Emily Appleton
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/07 | Oceane Dodin W50 Nottingham |
1-2 | 17-16 | L |
| 15/07 | Indianna Spink W50 Nottingham |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 14/07 | Lauryn John-Baptiste W50 Nottingham |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 20/06 | Peyton Stearns WTA Eastbourne · Grass |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 08/06 | Harmony Tan WTA Ilkley · Grass |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 07/06 | Tegan Bush WTA Ilkley · Grass |
2-1 | 15-9 | W |
| 30/05 | Rebeka Masarova WTA Birmingham · Grass |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 22/05 | Naho Sato W35 Changwon · ~Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 20/05 | Mana Kawamura W35 Changwon · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 13/05 | Haruka Kaji W75 Kurume · ~Carpet |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
Katarina Kuzmova
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/07 | Kira Pavlova W75 Vitoria Gasteiz |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 16/07 | Kateryna Lazarenko W75 Vitoria Gasteiz |
2-0 | 7-3 | W |
| 15/07 | Alba Rey Garcia W75 Vitoria Gasteiz |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 08/07 | Angelina Voloshchuk W50 Corroios-Seixal |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 03/07 | Han Shi W50 Elvas · ~Hard |
1-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 02/07 | Daria Khomutsianskaya W50 Elvas · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 01/07 | Zoziya Kardava W50 Elvas · ~Hard |
2-1 | 17-12 | W |
| 17/06 | Susan Bandecchi WTA Figueira da Foz · Hard |
1-2 | 13-17 | L |
| 16/06 | Viktoria Morvayova WTA Figueira da Foz · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 13/06 | Savannah Broadus W50 Guimaraes · ~Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Emily Appleton vs Katarina Kuzmova?
Our model gives 50% to Emily Appleton, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.