Tennis · W35 Aldershot · 28/07, 11:00

Prediction: Monika Ekstrand vs Alice Gillan

Team pages: Monika Ekstrand

Prediction summary
Winner
52% 48%
Monika Ekstrand Alice Gillan
Estimated games
19.8
Recent form · 10 last
Monika Ekstrand 7-3 (W-L)
WWWWWWWLLL
Alice Gillan 6-4 (W-L)
WWWWWLLLWL
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Monika Ekstrand 1547 · Alice Gillan 1513
Monika EkstrandAlice Gillan
Our model55%45%
Market50%50%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Note: Monika Ekstrand makes many double faults (5.4/match).

Statistics

Monika EkstrandAlice Gillan
Win %60%60%
Win % · Hard 75% (8) 63% (8)
Sets (G-P)1.3-0.91.2-0.8
Games (G-P)10.8-9.59.9-8.4
Aces1.70.8
Double faults5.42.1
1st serve %67.6%60.2%
Break %51%44.2%
Estimated total games (ours) 19.8

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Monika Ekstrand

WWLLL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
08/07 Jia-Jing Lu
W50 Columbus
0-2 6-12 L
24/06 Ariana Arseneault
W35 Rome
0-2 3-12 L
21/06 Alina Shcherbinina
W15 Irvine · ~Hard
0-2 6-12 L
20/06 Kaitlyn Carnicella
W15 Irvine · ~Hard
2-0 12-6 W
19/06 Theadora Rabman
W15 Irvine · ~Hard
2-0 13-8 W
18/06 Bianca Molnar
W15 Irvine · ~Hard
2-0 12-5 W
17/06 Tia Messerli
W15 Irvine · ~Hard
2-0 13-8 W
13/06 Kaitlyn Carnicella
W15 Los Angeles · ~Hard
1-2 14-12 L
12/06 Maria Aytoyan
W15 Los Angeles · ~Hard
2-1 17-17 W
11/06 Tia Messerli
W15 Los Angeles · ~Hard
2-0 12-3 W

Alice Gillan

LLLWL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
15/07 Naiktha Bains
W50 Nottingham
0-2 6-12 L
14/07 Karla Popovic
W50 Nottingham
2-0 12-7 W
09/06 Manon Leonard
W50 Guimaraes · ~Hard
0-2 7-13 L
02/06 Anastasia Kulikova
W50 Montemor-o-Novo · ~Hard
0-2 10-14 L
23/05 Alicia Dudeney
W35 Estepona · ~Hard
0-2 4-12 L
22/05 Carmen Gallardo Guevara
W35 Estepona · ~Hard
2-0 12-8 W
21/05 Angelina Voloshchuk
W35 Estepona · ~Hard
2-0 13-6 W
20/05 Matylda Burylo
W35 Estepona · ~Hard
2-0 12-5 W
13/05 Carlotta Moccia
W15 Monzon · ~Hard
2-0 11-4 W
12/05 Aliesia Reva
W15 Monzon · ~Hard
2-0 12-3 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Monika Ekstrand vs Alice Gillan?

Our model gives 52% to Monika Ekstrand, using surface Elo on hard.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.