Tennis · M25 Bolzano · 28/07, 13:30
Prediction: Leonardo Primucci vs Stefano D'Agostino
Team pages: Leonardo Primucci · Stefano D'Agostino
Prediction summary
Winner
Leonardo Primucci
Stefano D'Agostino
Estimated games
23
Recent form · 10 last
Leonardo Primucci
5-5 (W-L)
Stefano D'Agostino
8-2 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Leonardo Primucci 1489 · Stefano D'Agostino 1555
| Leonardo Primucci | Stefano D'Agostino | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 41% | 59% |
| Market | 27% | 73% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Stefano D'Agostino (rating 1489 vs 1555).
- Stefano D'Agostino dominates on serve: 6.9 aces and 52.1% break avg.
- Note: Stefano D'Agostino makes many double faults (4.3/match).
Statistics
| Leonardo Primucci | Stefano D'Agostino | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 60% |
| Win % · Clay | 43% (7) | 0% (1) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1-1.3 | 1.5-0.9 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.3-11.6 | 11.8-10.2 |
| Aces | 2.7 | 6.9 |
| Double faults | 3.4 | 4.3 |
| 1st serve % | 66.4% | 73.5% |
| Break % | 34.2% | 52.1% |
Estimated total games (ours)
23
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Leonardo Primucci
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/07 | Daniel Lechner M25 Bolzano · ~Clay |
2-1 | 14-13 | W |
| 26/07 | Enrico Rosellini M25 Bolzano · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 14/07 | Filippo Mazzola M15 Gubbio |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 09/07 | Nicolas Jadoun M25 Bastia-Lucciana |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 08/07 | Henri Haupt M25 Bastia-Lucciana |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 10/06 | Maxence Rivet M15 Messina · ~Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 09/06 | Jim Hendrikx M15 Messina · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 02/06 | Alexandre Reco M25 Caltanissetta · ~Clay |
1-2 | 12-15 | L |
| 27/05 | Khumoyun Sultanov M15 Kranjska Gora · ~Clay |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 21/05 | Jeremy Gschwendtner M15 Litija · ~Clay |
1-2 | 17-19 | L |
Stefano D'Agostino
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/07 | Juan Cruz Martin Manzano M15 Segrate |
1-2 | 7-15 | L |
| 17/07 | Pierre Antoine Tailleu M15 Gubbio |
1-2 | 19-19 | L |
| 16/07 | Vito Antonio Darderi M15 Gubbio |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 15/07 | Odysseas Geladaris M15 Gubbio |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 04/07 | Luca Wiedenmann M15 Store |
1-2 | 11-13 | L |
| 03/07 | Michael Savano M15 Store |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 02/07 | Maximilian Figl M15 Store |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
| 01/07 | Piotr Galus M15 Store |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 01/07 | Maximilian Homberg M15 Store |
1-0 | 6-3 | W |
| 24/06 | Federico Iannaccone M15 Bergamo · ~Clay |
1-2 | 12-17 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Leonardo Primucci vs Stefano D'Agostino?
Our model gives 67% to Stefano D'Agostino, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.