Tennis · M15 Strasbourg · 28/07, 16:00

Prediction: Damien Salvestre vs Antoni Fabre

Team pages: Damien Salvestre · Antoni Fabre

Prediction summary
Winner
58% 42%
Damien Salvestre Antoni Fabre
Estimated games
20.2
Recent form · 10 last
Damien Salvestre 7-3 (W-L)
LWLWWLWWWW
Antoni Fabre 4-6 (W-L)
WLLLLWWLWL
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Damien Salvestre 1541 · Antoni Fabre 1499
Damien SalvestreAntoni Fabre
Our model56%44%
Market59%41%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Damien Salvestre (rating 1541 vs 1499).

Statistics

Damien SalvestreAntoni Fabre
Win %60%40%
Win % · Clay 44% (9)
Sets (G-P)1.5-10.7-1.2
Games (G-P)11.7-8.68.1-9.5
Aces5.70.4
Double faults3.21.6
1st serve %77.8%62.6%
Break %43.8%37.8%
Estimated total games (ours) 20.2

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Damien Salvestre

LWLWW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
27/07 Rene Gabriel Jung
M15 Strasbourg
2-0 12-6 W
26/07 Ryan Ndualu
M15 Strasbourg
2-0 12-1 W
20/07 Maxence Rivet
M15 Rognac
1-2 11-13 L
19/07 Jason Pimenta
M15 Rognac
2-0 12-4 W
09/07 Alexander Weis
M25 Bastia-Lucciana
0-2 10-13 L
08/07 Mikail Alimli
M25 Bastia-Lucciana
2-0 11-5 W
06/07 Timeo Bretin
M25 Bastia-Lucciana
2-1 11-8 W
01/07 Viktor Durasovic
M25 Ajaccio · ~Hard
1-2 13-15 L
10/03 Silvio Mencaglia
M15 Monastir · ~Hard
1-2 7-10 L
28/01 Nicolas Robert
M15 Monastir · ~Hard
2-1 18-11 W

Antoni Fabre

WWLWL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
21/07 Edoardo Zanada
M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay
0-2 8-12 L
15/07 Ivan Gretskiy
M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay
2-0 12-7 W
11/07 Anton Arzhankin
M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay
0-2 5-13 L
10/07 Dusan Obradovic
M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay
2-0 12-6 W
08/07 Michael Minasyan
M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay
2-0 12-3 W
10/06 Nicolas Garcia Longo
M15 Curtea de Arges · ~Clay
0-2 7-12 L
09/06 Cesar Stefan Bentzel
M15 Curtea de Arges · ~Clay
0-2 6-12 L
29/04 Andrea Colombo
M15 Monastir · ~Hard
0-2 9-13 L
23/04 Inaki Montes-De La Torre
M25 Angers · ~Clay
0-2 4-12 L
22/04 Sander Jong
M25 Angers · ~Clay
1-0 6-5 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Damien Salvestre vs Antoni Fabre?

Our model gives 58% to Damien Salvestre, using surface Elo on clay.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.