Tennis · M25 Aldershot · 28/07, 14:00
Prediction: Sebastian Dominko vs Hugo Car
Team pages: Sebastian Dominko · Hugo Car
Prediction summary
Winner
Sebastian Dominko
Hugo Car
Estimated games
21.1
Recent form · 10 last
Sebastian Dominko
7-3 (W-L)
Hugo Car
7-3 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Sebastian Dominko 1591 · Hugo Car 1527
| Sebastian Dominko | Hugo Car | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 59% | 41% |
| Market | 59% | 41% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Sebastian Dominko (rating 1591 vs 1527).
- Sebastian Dominko dominates on serve: 7.9 aces and 50.8% break avg.
Statistics
| Sebastian Dominko | Hugo Car | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 80% | 60% |
| Win % · Hard | 89% (9) | 0% (1) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.6-0.6 | 1.5-0.8 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.1-9 | 12-9.3 |
| Aces | 7.9 | 5.2 |
| Double faults | 2 | 3.2 |
| 1st serve % | 77.7% | 71.1% |
| Break % | 50.8% | 45.7% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.1
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Sebastian Dominko
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/07 | Carl Emil Overbeck M25 Figueira da Foz · ~Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 03/07 | Goncalo Marques M25 Figueira da Foz · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 02/07 | John Echeverria M25 Figueira da Foz · ~Hard |
2-1 | 14-13 | W |
| 01/07 | Mert Alkaya M25 Figueira da Foz · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 29/06 | Daniel Lara Salmeron M25 Figueira da Foz · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 06/02 | Mert Alkaya Davis Cup |
0-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 11/01 | Perry Gregg UTR Pro South Bend · Hard |
2-1 | 17-17 | W |
| 10/01 | Poonthong Komopisut UTR Pro South Bend · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 08/01 | Noah Becker UTR Pro South Bend · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 07/01 | Luis Llorens Saracho UTR Pro South Bend · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
Hugo Car
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/07 | Clement Lemire M15 Rognac |
1-2 | 11-13 | L |
| 24/07 | Lucas Marionneau M15 Rognac |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 23/07 | Loann Massard M15 Rognac |
2-0 | 14-12 | W |
| 21/07 | Nicolas Jadoun M15 Rognac |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 01/07 | Dan Added M25 Ajaccio · ~Hard |
1-2 | 14-14 | L |
| 23/06 | Denis Constantin Spiridon M15 Bergamo · ~Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 22/06 | Daniel Aleksandar Amarandei M15 Bergamo · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 18/06 | Mika Petkovic M15 Bourg-en-Bresse · ~Clay |
1-2 | 16-16 | L |
| 16/06 | Andrea M'chich M15 Bourg-en-Bresse · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 15/06 | Noah Malige M15 Bourg-en-Bresse · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Sebastian Dominko vs Hugo Car?
Our model gives 59% to Sebastian Dominko, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.