Tennis · M15 Xativa · 28/07, 10:00
Prediction: Jose Dominguez Alonso vs Mateo Luis Alvarez Sarmiento
Team pages: Jose Dominguez Alonso · Mateo Luis Alvarez Sarmiento
Prediction summary
Winner
Jose Dominguez Alonso
Mateo Luis Alvarez Sarmiento
Estimated games
20.3
Recent form · 10 last
Jose Dominguez Alonso
3-7 (W-L)
Mateo Luis Alvarez Sarmiento
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Jose Dominguez Alonso 1463 · Mateo Luis Alvarez Sarmiento 1517
| Jose Dominguez Alonso | Mateo Luis Alvarez Sarmiento | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 42% | 58% |
| Market | 28% | 72% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Mateo Luis Alvarez Sarmiento (rating 1463 vs 1517).
- Mateo Luis Alvarez Sarmiento is in better form: 60% recent wins.
Statistics
| Jose Dominguez Alonso | Mateo Luis Alvarez Sarmiento | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 60% |
| Win % · Clay | 40% (5) | 60% (5) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.8-1.5 | 1.2-0.9 |
| Games (G-P) | 9.9-10.8 | 9.1-8.7 |
| Aces | 1.4 | 1.1 |
| Double faults | 2.1 | 1.5 |
| 1st serve % | 60.9% | 61% |
| Break % | 51.7% | 43.3% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.3
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Jose Dominguez Alonso
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/07 | Walid Ahouda M25 Rabat · ~Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 01/07 | Othman Bezzaz M25 Rabat · ~Clay |
2-1 | 18-13 | W |
| 30/06 | Dillon Beckles M25 Rabat · ~Clay |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 29/06 | Sohaib Safi M25 Rabat · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 23/06 | Nathan Walters M25 Tanger · ~Clay |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 10/06 | Samuel De Felipe Garcia M25 Martos · ~Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 09/06 | Nicola Ion M25 Martos · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 18/05 | Gabriel Gomez M25 Kutaisi · ~Hard |
1-2 | 12-9 | L |
| 13/05 | Raghav Jaisinghani M25 Kutaisi · ~Hard |
1-2 | 12-15 | L |
| 07/05 | Fausto Tabacco M25 Loule · ~Hard |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
Mateo Luis Alvarez Sarmiento
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/07 | Lorenzo Angelini M25 Denia |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 22/07 | Esteban Talavera Cortes M25 Denia |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 16/07 | Javier Barranco Cosano M25 Gandia |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 15/07 | Pablo Aunion M25 Gandia |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 14/07 | Martins Rocens M25 Gandia |
2-1 | 9-10 | W |
| 02/07 | Oscar Jose Gutierrez M15 Getxo · ~Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 01/07 | Luis Garcia Paez M15 Getxo · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 29/06 | Esteban Talavera Cortes M15 Getxo · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 15/06 | Pablo Aunion M15 Mungia-Laukariz · ~Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 14/06 | Darrshan Suresh M15 Mungia-Laukariz · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Jose Dominguez Alonso vs Mateo Luis Alvarez Sarmiento?
Our model gives 66% to Mateo Luis Alvarez Sarmiento, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.