Tennis · W15 Bielsko Biala · 29/07, 10:00
Prediction: Daria Gorska vs Amelia Paszun
Team pages: Daria Gorska · Amelia Paszun
Prediction summary
Winner
Daria Gorska
Amelia Paszun
Estimated games
20.5
Recent form · 10 last
Daria Gorska
4-6 (W-L)
Amelia Paszun
4-6 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Daria Gorska 1471 · Amelia Paszun 1487
| Daria Gorska | Amelia Paszun | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 48% | 52% |
| Market | 25% | 75% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Note: Amelia Paszun makes many double faults (4.6/match).
Statistics
| Daria Gorska | Amelia Paszun | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 40% |
| Win % · Clay | 43% (7) | 50% (4) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.7-1.4 | 1.2-1.3 |
| Games (G-P) | 8.4-10.1 | 11.1-10.4 |
| Aces | 1.1 | 0.7 |
| Double faults | 3.4 | 4.6 |
| 1st serve % | 62.8% | 62.7% |
| Break % | 52% | 58.8% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.5
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Daria Gorska
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/07 | Weronika Ewald Polish National Championships (W) |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 23/06 | Weronika Falkowska W50 Gdansk · ~Clay |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 22/06 | Alisa Yakimakho W50 Gdansk · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 17/06 | Marcelina Podlinska W35 Bolszewo · ~Clay |
1-2 | 15-17 | L |
| 16/06 | Kornelia Krzesniak W35 Bolszewo · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 27/05 | Giorgia Pedone W35 Bol · ~Clay |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 26/05 | Arianna Zucchini W35 Bol · ~Clay |
2-0 | 10-3 | W |
| 19/05 | Oceane Babel W35 Bol · ~Clay |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 10/05 | Miriana Tona W75 Trnava |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 20/04 | Teodora Vlajic W35 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
Amelia Paszun
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/07 | Zuzanna Pawlikowska Polish National Championships Women |
1-2 | 12-15 | L |
| 25/06 | Weronika Ewald W50 Gdansk · ~Clay |
1-2 | 10-14 | L |
| 23/06 | Oriana Gniewkowska W50 Gdansk · ~Clay |
2-1 | 15-11 | W |
| 18/06 | Weronika Falkowska W35 Bolszewo · ~Clay |
1-2 | 12-18 | L |
| 17/06 | Anna Ozerova W35 Bolszewo · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-0 | W |
| 20/05 | Laia Petretic W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
1-2 | 13-17 | L |
| 14/05 | Adithya Karunaratne W35 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 13/05 | Viktoria Kurz W35 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 23/04 | Masha Lazarenko W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 21/04 | Helena Stevic W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Daria Gorska vs Amelia Paszun?
Our model gives 65% to Amelia Paszun, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.