Tennis · M25 Gentofte · 29/07, 10:00
Prediction: Matas Vasiliauskas vs Evangelos Kypriotis
Team pages: Matas Vasiliauskas
Prediction summary
Winner
Matas Vasiliauskas
Evangelos Kypriotis
Estimated games
19.9
Recent form · 10 last
Matas Vasiliauskas
3-7 (W-L)
Evangelos Kypriotis
4-6 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Matas Vasiliauskas 1438 · Evangelos Kypriotis 1493
| Matas Vasiliauskas | Evangelos Kypriotis | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 42% | 58% |
| Market | 50% | 50% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Evangelos Kypriotis (rating 1438 vs 1493).
- Note: Matas Vasiliauskas makes many double faults (5.2/match).
Statistics
| Matas Vasiliauskas | Evangelos Kypriotis | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 50% |
| Win % · Hard | 30% (10) | 38% (8) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.6-1.4 | 1.2-1.1 |
| Games (G-P) | 7.3-10.3 | 10.4-9.9 |
| Aces | 1.5 | 1.5 |
| Double faults | 5.2 | 3.1 |
| 1st serve % | 65.7% | 62% |
| Break % | 31.1% | 32.6% |
Estimated total games (ours)
19.9
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Matas Vasiliauskas
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/06 | Kerem Yilmaz M15 Kayseri · ~Hard |
0-2 | 1-8 | L |
| 18/06 | Volodymyr Iakubenko M15 Kayseri · ~Hard |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 17/06 | Haydar Cem Gokpinar M15 Kayseri · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 10/06 | Keshav Chopra M15 Kayseri · ~Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 04/06 | Adhithya Ganesan M15 Kayseri · ~Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 03/06 | Asier Civera Martinez M15 Kayseri · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 27/05 | Patrick Schoen M15 Kayseri · ~Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 19/05 | Stefan Cooper M15 Kayseri · ~Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 06/05 | Fumin Jiang M15 Islamabad · ~Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 28/04 | Muzammil Murtaza M15 Islamabad · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-9 | W |
Evangelos Kypriotis
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/07 | Alvar Lange M25 Gentofte |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 26/07 | Asger Sorensen M25 Gentofte |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 20/05 | Daniil Ostapenkov M25 Kutaisi · ~Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 20/05 | Evgeny Tyurnev M25 Kutaisi · ~Hard |
2-1 | 16-14 | W |
| 18/05 | Mikhail Kulyagin M25 Kutaisi · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 14/05 | Saba Purtseladze M25 Kutaisi · ~Hard |
1-2 | 13-17 | L |
| 13/05 | David Prasievi M25 Kutaisi · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 21/04 | Benjamin Pietri M15 Heraklion · ~Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 31/03 | Mustafa Ege Sik M25 Heraklion · ~Hard |
1-2 | 12-11 | L |
| 03/02 | Christoph Gayk M15 Antalya · ~Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Matas Vasiliauskas vs Evangelos Kypriotis?
Our model gives 54% to Evangelos Kypriotis, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.