Tennis · M25 Koszalin · 28/07, 14:00
Prediction: Oleg Prihodko vs Lorenzo Berto
Team pages: Oleg Prihodko · Lorenzo Berto
Prediction summary
Winner
Oleg Prihodko
Lorenzo Berto
Estimated games
22.2
Recent form · 10 last
Oleg Prihodko
8-2 (W-L)
Lorenzo Berto
2-8 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Oleg Prihodko 1553 · Lorenzo Berto 1473
| Oleg Prihodko | Lorenzo Berto | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 61% | 39% |
| Market | 88% | 12% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Oleg Prihodko (rating 1553 vs 1473).
- Oleg Prihodko dominates on serve: 6.7 aces and 48.3% break avg.
- Oleg Prihodko is in better form: 70% recent wins.
Statistics
| Oleg Prihodko | Lorenzo Berto | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 40% |
| Win % · Clay | 70% (10) | 50% (8) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.5-0.8 | 0.9-1.5 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.8-9.5 | 10.9-12.1 |
| Aces | 6.7 | 4 |
| Double faults | 1.8 | 2.8 |
| 1st serve % | 73.7% | 67.8% |
| Break % | 48.3% | 62% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.2
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Oleg Prihodko
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/07 | Matyas Fuele Challenger Cordenons · Clay |
1-2 | 13-17 | L |
| 13/07 | Gabriele Crivellaro Challenger Cordenons · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 12/07 | Alessio Balestrieri Challenger Cordenons · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 07/07 | Alex Barrena Challenger Trieste · Clay |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 06/07 | Giovanni Oradini Challenger Trieste · Clay |
2-1 | 16-15 | W |
| 05/07 | Lorenzo Rottoli Challenger Trieste · Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 27/06 | Khumoyun Sultanov M25 Zagreb · ~Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 26/06 | Dimitris Sakellaridis M25 Zagreb · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 25/06 | Glib Sekachov M25 Zagreb · ~Clay |
2-1 | 16-10 | W |
| 23/06 | Vid Mohar M25 Zagreb · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
Lorenzo Berto
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/07 | Nicola Rispoli M15 Segrate |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 14/07 | Alexander Gschiel M15 Nova Gorica |
1-2 | 9-10 | L |
| 05/07 | Lorenzo Bocchi Challenger Trieste · Clay |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 24/06 | Manuel Plunger M15 Bergamo · ~Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 17/06 | Viktor Durasovic M25 Milano · ~Clay |
1-2 | 11-18 | L |
| 16/06 | Luca Parenti M25 Milano · ~Clay |
2-1 | 18-14 | W |
| 15/06 | Antonio Caruso M25 Milano · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-5 | W |
| 02/06 | Mak Mikovic M15 Ljubljana · ~Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 07/05 | Michele Mecarelli M25 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
1-1 | 15-12 | W |
| 06/05 | Lorenzo Rottoli M25 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
2-1 | 14-11 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Oleg Prihodko vs Lorenzo Berto?
Our model gives 76% to Oleg Prihodko, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.