Tennis · W100 Gran Canaria · 28/07, 13:30

Prediction: Zhibek Kulambayeva vs Andrea Lazaro Garcia

Team pages: Zhibek Kulambayeva · Andrea Lazaro Garcia

Prediction summary
Winner
42% 58%
Zhibek Kulambayeva Andrea Lazaro Garcia
Estimated games
21.9
Recent form · 10 last
Zhibek Kulambayeva 4-6 (W-L)
LWWLWLLLWL
Andrea Lazaro Garcia 5-5 (W-L)
LWWLWWLLWL
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Zhibek Kulambayeva 1520 · Andrea Lazaro Garcia 1505
Zhibek KulambayevaAndrea Lazaro Garcia
Our model52%48%
Market34%66%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Statistics

Zhibek KulambayevaAndrea Lazaro Garcia
Win %60%50%
Win % · Clay 50% (6) 50% (8)
Sets (G-P)1.3-1.11.3-1
Games (G-P)10.7-10.711.9-10.5
Aces0.25
Double faults32.9
1st serve %54.2%60.1%
Break %53.9%56.2%
Estimated total games (ours) 21.9

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Zhibek Kulambayeva

WWLWL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
13/07 Leyre Romero Gormaz
WTA Iasi · Clay
0-2 5-12 L
12/07 Lisa Zaar
WTA Iasi · Clay
2-0 13-9 W
09/07 Joelle Lilly Sophie Steur
W75 The Hague
0-2 4-12 L
08/07 Nuria Brancaccio
W75 The Hague
2-1 14-11 W
06/07 Marie Vogt
W75 The Hague
2-1 16-10 W
05/07 Amelie Van Impe
W75 The Hague
2-1 16-13 W
03/07 Anouck Vrancken Peeters
W35 Amstelveen · ~Clay
1-2 10-16 L
02/07 Aran Teixido Garcia
W35 Amstelveen · ~Clay
2-0 12-5 W
01/07 Tilwith Di Girolami
W35 Amstelveen · ~Clay
2-0 12-6 W
23/06 Daria Kuczer
W50 Gdansk · ~Clay
0-2 5-13 L

Andrea Lazaro Garcia

WLLWL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
24/06 Alina Korneeva
Wimbledon Women · Grass
1-2 14-19 L
23/06 Nuria Brancaccio
Wimbledon Women · Grass
2-0 12-7 W
09/06 Julia Grabher
WTA Modena · Clay
0-2 6-12 L
05/06 Darja Semenistaja
WTA Makarska · Clay
1-2 18-17 L
04/06 Simona Waltert
WTA Makarska · Clay
2-0 12-7 W
03/06 Laura Samsonova
WTA Makarska · Clay
2-0 12-5 W
29/05 Jennifer Ruggeri
W75 Zaragoza · ~Clay
0-2 7-12 L
28/05 Tyra Caterina Grant
W75 Zaragoza · ~Clay
2-0 12-7 W
27/05 Celia Cervino Ruiz
W75 Zaragoza · ~Clay
2-0 12-4 W
18/05 Mayar Sherif
French Open Women · Clay
1-2 14-15 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Zhibek Kulambayeva vs Andrea Lazaro Garcia?

Our model gives 58% to Andrea Lazaro Garcia, using surface Elo on clay.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.