Tennis · W100 Gran Canaria · 28/07, 12:00
Prediction: Carmen Gallardo Guevara vs Matilde Jorge
Team pages: Carmen Gallardo Guevara · Matilde Jorge
Prediction summary
Winner
Carmen Gallardo Guevara
Matilde Jorge
Estimated games
19.8
Recent form · 10 last
Carmen Gallardo Guevara
5-5 (W-L)
Matilde Jorge
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Carmen Gallardo Guevara 1535 · Matilde Jorge 1545
| Carmen Gallardo Guevara | Matilde Jorge | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 49% | 51% |
| Market | 41% | 59% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Note: Matilde Jorge makes many double faults (5.1/match).
Statistics
| Carmen Gallardo Guevara | Matilde Jorge | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 60% |
| Win % · Hard | 50% (2) | 67% (9) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.2-0.9 | 1.3-0.8 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.3-8.9 | 10.1-8.7 |
| Aces | 0.7 | 2.1 |
| Double faults | 3.7 | 5.1 |
| 1st serve % | 62.2% | 65.9% |
| Break % | 44.9% | 45.8% |
Estimated total games (ours)
19.8
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Carmen Gallardo Guevara
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/07 | Kristina Novak W15 Gran Canaria |
2-1 | 17-12 | W |
| 25/07 | Shannon Lam W15 Gran Canaria |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 23/07 | Lucia Natal W15 Gran Canaria |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 22/07 | Carlotta Moccia W15 Gran Canaria |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 15/07 | Kira Pavlova W75 Vitoria Gasteiz |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 06/07 | Elyse Tse W50 Corroios-Seixal |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 05/07 | Maxine Murphy W50 Corroios-Seixal |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 30/06 | Angelina Voloshchuk W50 Elvas · ~Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 29/06 | Sana Garakani W50 Elvas · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 16/06 | Ru Xi Wu W35 Tauste · ~Clay |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
Matilde Jorge
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/07 | Chloe Noel W50 Corroios-Seixal |
1-2 | 14-15 | L |
| 05/07 | Han Shi W50 Elvas · ~Hard |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 04/07 | Hina Inoue W50 Elvas · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 03/07 | Veronika Podrez W50 Elvas · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 02/07 | Hiromi Abe W50 Elvas · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 01/07 | Lauryn John-Baptiste W50 Elvas · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 16/06 | Jil Teichmann WTA Figueira da Foz · Hard |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 12/06 | Savannah Broadus W50 Guimaraes · ~Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 11/06 | Anastasia Kulikova W50 Guimaraes · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 10/06 | Polina Isakova W50 Guimaraes · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Carmen Gallardo Guevara vs Matilde Jorge?
Our model gives 56% to Matilde Jorge, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.