Tennis · W15 Brisbane · 28/07, 05:00
Prediction: Mana Kawamura vs Amy Stevens
Team pages: Mana Kawamura · Amy Stevens
Prediction summary
Winner
Mana Kawamura
Amy Stevens
Estimated games
20
Recent form · 10 last
Mana Kawamura
0-10 (W-L)
Amy Stevens
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Mana Kawamura 1379 · Amy Stevens 1482
| Mana Kawamura | Amy Stevens | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 36% | 64% |
| Market | 50% | 50% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Amy Stevens (rating 1379 vs 1482).
- Amy Stevens is in better form: 40% recent wins.
- Note: Amy Stevens makes many double faults (8.7/match).
Statistics
| Mana Kawamura | Amy Stevens | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 0% | 40% |
| Win % · Hard | 0% (6) | 100% (1) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0-2 | 1-1.3 |
| Games (G-P) | 5.4-12.3 | 10.2-11.5 |
| Aces | 0.2 | 1.7 |
| Double faults | 2.4 | 8.7 |
| 1st serve % | 45% | 56.1% |
| Break % | 35.8% | 52.8% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Mana Kawamura
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/07 | Natsuki Yoshimoto W15 Brisbane |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 14/07 | Alana Subasic W15 Brisbane |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 24/06 | Stefani Webb W15 Sapporo |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 17/06 | Natsuho Arakawa W15 Sapporo |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 26/05 | Mutsumi Uemura W15 Fukui · ~Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 20/05 | Emily Appleton W35 Changwon · ~Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 12/05 | Hee Rae Im W35 Andong · ~Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 06/05 | BoYoung Jeong W35 Changwon · ~Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 28/04 | Jiangxue Han W35 Goyang · ~Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 21/04 | Nana Kawagishi W35 Miyazaki · ~Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
Amy Stevens
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/07 | I Wen Wan W15 Brisbane |
1-2 | 14-17 | L |
| 22/07 | Himari Sato W15 Brisbane |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 15/07 | Chia Yi Tsao W15 Brisbane |
1-2 | 15-17 | L |
| 30/06 | Oceane Dodin W35 Aix-les-Bains · ~Clay |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 29/06 | Zoe Ulrich W35 Aix-les-Bains · ~Clay |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 28/06 | Tamara Bachmann W35 Aix-les-Bains · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 18/06 | Lucciana Perez Alarcon W35 San Gregorio · ~Clay |
0-2 | 1-12 | L |
| 17/06 | Michelle Kelly Tikhonko W35 San Gregorio · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 10/06 | Beatrise Zeltina W35 San Gregorio · ~Clay |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 07/05 | Georgiana Ruhrig UTR Pro Melbourne Women · Hard |
2-1 | 15-17 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Mana Kawamura vs Amy Stevens?
Our model gives 56% to Amy Stevens, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.