Tennis · W50 Dublin · 28/07, 10:00
Prediction: Sonja Zhiyenbayeva vs Alicia Dudeney
Team pages: Sonja Zhiyenbayeva · Alicia Dudeney
Prediction summary
Winner
Sonja Zhiyenbayeva
Alicia Dudeney
Estimated games
21.1
Recent form · 10 last
Sonja Zhiyenbayeva
2-8 (W-L)
Alicia Dudeney
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Sonja Zhiyenbayeva 1460 · Alicia Dudeney 1535
| Sonja Zhiyenbayeva | Alicia Dudeney | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 39% | 61% |
| Market | 16% | 84% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Alicia Dudeney (rating 1460 vs 1535).
- Alicia Dudeney is in better form: 60% recent wins.
- Note: Alicia Dudeney makes many double faults (4.5/match).
Statistics
| Sonja Zhiyenbayeva | Alicia Dudeney | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 60% |
| Win % · Hard | 38% (8) | – |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.9-1.4 | 1.2-0.9 |
| Games (G-P) | 9.6-11.5 | 10.3-9.1 |
| Aces | 1.3 | 1.4 |
| Double faults | 3.6 | 4.5 |
| 1st serve % | 57.9% | 66.4% |
| Break % | 56.2% | 50.7% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.1
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Sonja Zhiyenbayeva
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/07 | Carol Young Suh Lee W50 Corroios-Seixal |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 01/07 | Vaishnavi Adkar W50 Elvas · ~Hard |
1-2 | 10-16 | L |
| 16/06 | JiaYi Wang W35 Zhengzhou · ~Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 12/06 | Yujia Huang W100 Wuning · ~Hard |
1-2 | 7-15 | L |
| 11/06 | Priska Madelyn Nugroho W100 Wuning · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 09/06 | Yexin Ma W100 Wuning · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 05/06 | Rina Saigo W50 Wuning · ~Hard |
1-2 | 11-16 | L |
| 04/06 | Varvara Panshina W50 Wuning · ~Hard |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
| 03/06 | Alexandra Shubladze W50 Wuning · ~Hard |
0-1 | 4-6 | L |
| 10/04 | Bianca Andreescu Billie Jean King Cup |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
Alicia Dudeney
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/07 | Naiktha Bains W50 Nottingham |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 17/07 | Hannah Klugman W50 Nottingham |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 16/07 | Victoria Allen W50 Nottingham |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 15/07 | Clara Vlasselaer W50 Nottingham |
2-1 | 17-12 | W |
| 14/07 | Tegan Bush W50 Nottingham |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 29/06 | Alycia Parks Wimbledon Women · Grass |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 23/06 | Jessica Bouzas Maneiro WTA Eastbourne · Grass |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 16/06 | Dayana Yastremska WTA Nottingham · Grass |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 14/06 | Himeno Sakatsume WTA Nottingham · Grass |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 13/06 | Yulia Putintseva WTA Nottingham · Grass |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Sonja Zhiyenbayeva vs Alicia Dudeney?
Our model gives 74% to Alicia Dudeney, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.