Tennis · M15 Brisbane · 29/07, 02:00
Prediction: Jeremy Zhang vs Hayden Jones
Team pages: Jeremy Zhang · Hayden Jones
Prediction summary
Winner
Jeremy Zhang
Hayden Jones
Estimated games
21.6
Recent form · 10 last
Jeremy Zhang
7-3 (W-L)
Hayden Jones
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Jeremy Zhang 1527 · Hayden Jones 1482
| Jeremy Zhang | Hayden Jones | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 56% | 44% |
| Market | 42% | 58% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Jeremy Zhang (rating 1527 vs 1482).
- Note: Hayden Jones makes many double faults (4/match).
Statistics
| Jeremy Zhang | Hayden Jones | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 40% |
| Win % · Hard | 67% (6) | 43% (7) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.4-1 | 0.9-1.2 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.3-10.3 | 10.6-11.1 |
| Aces | 1.9 | 4.4 |
| Double faults | 3.6 | 4 |
| 1st serve % | 60.8% | 69% |
| Break % | 53.7% | 39% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.6
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Jeremy Zhang
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/07 | Taiki Takizawa M15 Brisbane |
1-2 | 12-13 | L |
| 22/07 | Tai Leonard Sach M15 Brisbane |
2-1 | 12-10 | W |
| 21/07 | Kazuma Kawachi M15 Brisbane |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 15/07 | Matthew Dellavedova M25 Brisbane |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 12/11 | Aidan Mchugh Challenger Champaign · Hard |
1-2 | 15-19 | L |
| 10/11 | Quinn Vandecasteele Challenger Champaign · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 09/11 | Enzo Wallart Challenger Champaign · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 06/11 | Erik Arutiunian ITF M25 East Lansing · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 05/11 | Poonthong Komopisut ITF M25 East Lansing · Hard |
2-1 | 15-14 | W |
| 04/11 | Cameron Muller ITF M25 East Lansing · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
Hayden Jones
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/07 | Matthew Dellavedova M15 Brisbane |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 21/07 | Asher Brownrigg M15 Brisbane |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 14/07 | Blake Ellis M25 Brisbane |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 15/06 | Kousuke Ogura M15 Tokyo · ~Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 11/06 | Jumpei Yamasaki M15 Tokyo · ~Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 10/06 | Hiromasa Koyama M15 Tokyo · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 08/06 | Kazuki Nishiwaki M15 Tokyo · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 24/11 | Ryuki Matsuda Challenger Playford · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 23/11 | Joshua Charlton Challenger Playford · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 18/11 | Marek Gengel Challenger Sydney · Hard |
1-2 | 16-18 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Jeremy Zhang vs Hayden Jones?
Our model gives 51% to Hayden Jones, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.