Tennis · M15 Brisbane · 29/07, 02:00
Prediction: Ymerali Ibraimi vs Duje Markovina
Team pages: Ymerali Ibraimi · Duje Markovina
Prediction summary
Winner
Ymerali Ibraimi
Duje Markovina
Estimated games
21.7
Recent form · 10 last
Ymerali Ibraimi
3-7 (W-L)
Duje Markovina
5-5 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Ymerali Ibraimi
0–1
Duje Markovina
(1 last)
- 10 Dec0-2 7-12L
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Ymerali Ibraimi 1483 · Duje Markovina 1535
| Ymerali Ibraimi | Duje Markovina | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 43% | 57% |
| Market | 25% | 75% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Duje Markovina (rating 1483 vs 1535).
- Duje Markovina dominates on serve: 6.9 aces and 41.1% break avg.
- Head-to-head: Ymerali Ibraimi 0–1 Duje Markovina (1).
Statistics
| Ymerali Ibraimi | Duje Markovina | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 50% |
| Win % · Hard | 33% (6) | 0% (1) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.9-1.4 | 1.1-1.2 |
| Games (G-P) | 9.4-10.9 | 11.5-12.5 |
| Aces | 3 | 6.9 |
| Double faults | 2 | 2.8 |
| 1st serve % | 65.5% | 67.2% |
| Break % | 58.8% | 41.1% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.7
H2H · Ymerali Ibraimi 0 – 1 Duje Markovina (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Ymerali Ibraimi 0–1 Duje Markovina
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10/12/25 ITF M15 Hamilton | 0-2 | 7-12 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Ymerali Ibraimi
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/07 | Derek Pham M15 Brisbane |
1-2 | 13-17 | L |
| 21/07 | Matthew Shearer M15 Brisbane |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 15/07 | Matisse Bobichon M25 Brisbane |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 14/07 | Charlie Camus M25 Brisbane |
2-1 | 9-8 | W |
| 06/06 | Valentino De Pellegrin UTR Pro Gold Coast · Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 05/06 | Oliver King UTR Pro Gold Coast · Hard |
2-1 | 18-12 | W |
| 04/06 | Scott Jones UTR Pro Gold Coast · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 02/06 | Jonas Hahn UTR Pro Gold Coast · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 01/06 | Corban Crowther UTR Pro Gold Coast · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 31/05 | Scott Jones UTR Pro Gold Coast · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
Duje Markovina
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/07 | Jake Delaney M15 Brisbane |
1-2 | 12-17 | L |
| 24/07 | Chase Ferguson M15 Brisbane |
2-1 | 13-12 | W |
| 23/07 | Blake Ellis M15 Brisbane |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 22/07 | Ashton Mcleod M15 Brisbane |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
| 15/07 | Jake Delaney M25 Brisbane |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 25/06 | Andrey Chepelev M25 Zagreb · ~Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 23/06 | Jan Kumstat M25 Zagreb · ~Clay |
2-1 | 13-10 | W |
| 10/06 | Gilles Arnaud Bailly M25 Varnamo · ~Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 04/06 | Taym Alazmeh M15 Rosbach · ~Clay |
0-1 | 11-13 | L |
| 03/06 | Marc Majdandzic M15 Rosbach · ~Clay |
2-1 | 19-15 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Ymerali Ibraimi vs Duje Markovina?
Our model gives 67% to Duje Markovina, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.