Tennis · M15 Brisbane · 28/07, 05:00

Prediction: Omar Jasika vs Derek Pham

Team pages: Omar Jasika

Prediction summary
Winner
65% 35%
Omar Jasika Derek Pham
Estimated games
21.2
Recent form · 10 last
Omar Jasika 7-3 (W-L)
WLWWWWLWWL
Derek Pham 6-4 (W-L)
LWWWWWWLLL
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Omar Jasika 1586 · Derek Pham 1555
Omar JasikaDerek Pham
Our model54%46%
Market73%27%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Statistics

Omar JasikaDerek Pham
Win %70%70%
Win % · Hard 86% (7) 75% (8)
Sets (G-P)1.5-0.91.5-0.8
Games (G-P)12.2-9.212.1-9.3
Aces1.64.7
Double faults2.62.8
1st serve %67.1%71.5%
Break %36.2%44.3%
Estimated total games (ours) 21.2

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Omar Jasika

WWLWL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
23/07 Matt Hulme
M15 Brisbane
0-2 8-12 L
22/07 Harrison Satara
M15 Brisbane
2-0 13-7 W
15/07 Scott Jones
M25 Brisbane
1-2 13-13 L
12/07 Koki Matsuda
M15 Tokyo · ~Hard
2-1 16-7 W
11/07 Matthew Dellavedova
M15 Tokyo · ~Hard
2-0 12-6 W
10/07 Yuki Mochizuki
M15 Tokyo · ~Hard
2-0 13-9 W
09/07 Yusuke Takahashi
M15 Tokyo · ~Hard
2-1 16-10 W
08/07 Kousuke Ogura
M15 Tokyo · ~Hard
2-1 13-10 W
03/07 Sanhui Shin
M15 Tokyo · ~Hard
0-2 6-12 L
02/07 Riku Takahata
M15 Tokyo · ~Hard
2-0 12-6 W

Derek Pham

WWLWL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
23/07 Chase Ferguson
M15 Brisbane
1-2 17-18 L
22/07 Ymerali Ibraimi
M15 Brisbane
2-1 17-13 W
20/11 Micah Braswell
ITF M25 Austin · Hard
0-2 8-12 L
19/11 Nathan Ponwith
ITF M25 Austin · Hard
2-0 11-7 W
13/11 Haydar Cem Gokpinar
UTR Pro Stillwater · Hard
2-0 12-2 W
12/11 Charlie Valentine
UTR Pro Stillwater · Hard
2-0 12-5 W
11/11 Ilias Hirani Worthington
UTR Pro Stillwater · Hard
2-1 14-11 W
11/11 Evan Sharygin
UTR Pro Stillwater · Hard
2-0 13-7 W
10/11 Brody Nejedly-Krall
UTR Pro Stillwater · Hard
2-0 12-6 W
22/10 Shunsuke Mitsui
ITF M25 Norman · Hard
0-2 5-12 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Omar Jasika vs Derek Pham?

Our model gives 65% to Omar Jasika, using surface Elo on hard.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.