Tennis · M15 Brisbane · 28/07, 03:30
Prediction: Charlie Pade vs Sam Wensley
Team pages: Sam Wensley
Prediction summary
Winner
Charlie Pade
Sam Wensley
Estimated games
21.8
Recent form · 10 last
Charlie Pade
3-7 (W-L)
Sam Wensley
3-7 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Charlie Pade
2–0
Sam Wensley
(2 last)
- 29 Jul2-1 19-16W
- 30 May2-0 12-5W
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Charlie Pade 1446 · Sam Wensley 1473
| Charlie Pade | Sam Wensley | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 46% | 54% |
| Market | 61% | 39% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Head-to-head: Charlie Pade 2–0 Sam Wensley (2).
- Note: Sam Wensley makes many double faults (4.6/match).
Statistics
| Charlie Pade | Sam Wensley | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 50% |
| Win % · Hard | 30% (10) | 56% (9) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1-1.6 | 1-1.2 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.2-12.8 | 8.9-10.5 |
| Aces | 0.6 | 0.3 |
| Double faults | 2.7 | 4.6 |
| 1st serve % | 58.1% | 54.1% |
| Break % | 50.4% | 62% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.8
H2H · Charlie Pade 2 – 0 Sam Wensley (2)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Charlie Pade 2–0 Sam Wensley
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 29/07/25 UTR Pro Lovedale | 2-1 | 19-16 | W |
| 30/05/25 UTR Pro Lovedale | 2-0 | 12-5 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Charlie Pade
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/06 | Eric Tripathi UTR Pro Sydney · Hard |
1-2 | 15-14 | L |
| 20/06 | Alexander Despoja UTR Pro Sydney · Hard |
2-1 | 17-15 | W |
| 18/06 | Matt Hulme UTR Pro Sydney · Hard |
2-1 | 13-13 | W |
| 17/06 | Finley Dyer UTR Pro Sydney · Hard |
1-2 | 10-14 | L |
| 16/06 | Vitorio Sardinha UTR Pro Sydney · Hard |
1-2 | 7-16 | L |
| 15/06 | Marcus Schoeman UTR Pro Sydney · Hard |
1-2 | 10-15 | L |
| 19/05 | Noritaka Koizumi M15 Luan · ~Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 13/05 | Yuta Kikuchi M15 Wuning · ~Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 12/05 | Haruto Ishikawa M15 Wuning · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 07/05 | Uisung Park M15 Wuning · ~Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
Sam Wensley
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/07 | Matt Hulme M25 Brisbane |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 29/05 | Noah Brownrigg UTR Pro Gold Coast · Hard |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 29/05 | Tomislav Edward Papac UTR Pro Gold Coast · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 25/05 | Asher Brownrigg UTR Pro Gold Coast · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 16/05 | Nikolas Baker UTR Pro Melbourne · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 15/05 | Noah Brownrigg UTR Pro Melbourne · Hard |
2-1 | 12-12 | W |
| 14/05 | Lachlan King UTR Pro Melbourne · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 13/05 | Emmanuel Valsamis UTR Pro Melbourne · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 12/05 | Valentino De Pellegrin UTR Pro Melbourne · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 11/05 | Marcus Nield UTR Pro Melbourne · Hard |
2-1 | 14-14 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Charlie Pade vs Sam Wensley?
Our model gives 54% to Charlie Pade, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.