Tennis · M15 Brisbane · 28/07, 02:00
Prediction: Adrian Arcon vs Elijah Cham
Prediction summary
Winner
Adrian Arcon
Elijah Cham
Estimated games
19.5
Recent form · 10 last
Adrian Arcon
3-7 (W-L)
Elijah Cham
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Adrian Arcon 1468 · Elijah Cham 1490
| Adrian Arcon | Elijah Cham | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 47% | 53% |
| Market | 17% | 83% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| Adrian Arcon | Elijah Cham | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 50% |
| Win % · Hard | 38% (8) | 50% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.9-1.3 | 1.1-1 |
| Games (G-P) | 8.4-9.3 | 10.4-9.5 |
| Aces | 3.6 | 1.9 |
| Double faults | 3.6 | 2.8 |
| 1st serve % | 63.8% | 66.6% |
| Break % | 35.4% | 42.6% |
Estimated total games (ours)
19.5
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Adrian Arcon
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/06 | Hiromasa Koyama M15 Harmon · ~Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 01/06 | Leo Hsu M15 Harmon · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 20/05 | Robert Strombachs M15 Gaborone · ~Hard |
0-2 | 1-12 | L |
| 18/05 | Ethan Terblanche M15 Gaborone · ~Hard |
2-1 | 13-10 | W |
| 12/05 | James Weber M15 Gaborone · ~Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 06/05 | Florent Bax Challenger Brazzaville · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 03/05 | Medhir Goyal Challenger Brazzaville · Clay |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 27/04 | Alexey Aleshchev M15 Mbombela · ~Hard |
1-2 | 9-9 | L |
| 25/03 | Joshua Charlton M15 Swan Hill · ~Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 24/03 | Stefan Kostic M15 Swan Hill · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
Elijah Cham
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/06 | Saki Tange M15 Tokyo · ~Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 05/06 | Azuma Visaya UTR Pro Kakogawa · Hard |
1-2 | 16-19 | L |
| 04/06 | Hunter Heck UTR Pro Kakogawa · Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 03/06 | Hugo Hashimoto UTR Pro Kakogawa · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 01/06 | Toa Maeda UTR Pro Kakogawa · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 01/06 | Hiiro Sakamoto UTR Pro Kakogawa · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 20/12 | Max Pade UTR Pro Craigieburn · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 19/12 | Aryan Karnani UTR Pro Craigieburn · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 18/12 | Li Tu UTR Pro Craigieburn · Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 17/12 | Lachlan King UTR Pro Craigieburn · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Adrian Arcon vs Elijah Cham?
Our model gives 70% to Elijah Cham, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.