Tennis · M15 Brisbane · 28/07, 02:00
Prediction: Zane Stevens vs Asher Brownrigg
Team pages: Zane Stevens · Asher Brownrigg
Prediction summary
Winner
Zane Stevens
Asher Brownrigg
Estimated games
21.2
Recent form · 10 last
Zane Stevens
6-4 (W-L)
Asher Brownrigg
3-7 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Zane Stevens 1560 · Asher Brownrigg 1444
| Zane Stevens | Asher Brownrigg | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 66% | 34% |
| Market | 88% | 12% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Zane Stevens (rating 1560 vs 1444).
- Zane Stevens is in better form: 70% recent wins.
Statistics
| Zane Stevens | Asher Brownrigg | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 20% |
| Win % · Hard | 75% (8) | 25% (8) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.5-0.8 | 0.7-1.7 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.3-9.9 | 8.6-12 |
| Aces | 1.9 | 0.5 |
| Double faults | 3.4 | 2 |
| 1st serve % | 64.7% | 50.5% |
| Break % | 49.5% | 10% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.2
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Zane Stevens
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/07 | Nikita Volonski M25 Brisbane |
1-2 | 15-14 | L |
| 14/07 | Patrick Kotan M25 Brisbane |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 21/06 | Matt Hulme UTR Pro Sydney · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 20/06 | Jeremy Beale UTR Pro Sydney · Hard |
2-1 | 19-17 | W |
| 19/06 | Jera Staley UTR Pro Sydney · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 17/06 | Omar Jasika UTR Pro Sydney · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 16/06 | Daniel Jankoski UTR Pro Sydney · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 15/06 | Alexander Despoja UTR Pro Sydney · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 06/06 | Jeremy Beale UTR Pro Gold Coast · Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 05/06 | Jonty Giesen UTR Pro Gold Coast · Hard |
2-1 | 15-9 | W |
Asher Brownrigg
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/07 | Hayden Jones M15 Brisbane |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 14/07 | Jeremy Beale M25 Brisbane |
1-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 06/06 | Haru Kawanaka UTR Pro Gold Coast · Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 04/06 | Matt Hulme UTR Pro Gold Coast · Hard |
2-1 | 18-11 | W |
| 03/06 | Jera Staley UTR Pro Gold Coast · Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 31/05 | Brendan Loh UTR Pro Gold Coast · Hard |
1-2 | 13-16 | L |
| 29/05 | Noah Brownrigg UTR Pro Gold Coast · Hard |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 29/05 | Tomislav Edward Papac UTR Pro Gold Coast · Hard |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 26/05 | Valentino De Pellegrin UTR Pro Gold Coast · Hard |
1-2 | 15-17 | L |
| 25/05 | Sam Wensley UTR Pro Gold Coast · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Zane Stevens vs Asher Brownrigg?
Our model gives 78% to Zane Stevens, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.