Tennis · M25 Bolzano · 28/07, 10:00
Prediction: Alexander Weis vs Nicola Rispoli
Team pages: Alexander Weis · Nicola Rispoli
Prediction summary
Winner
Alexander Weis
Nicola Rispoli
Estimated games
22.1
Recent form · 10 last
Alexander Weis
8-2 (W-L)
Nicola Rispoli
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Alexander Weis 1563 · Nicola Rispoli 1465
| Alexander Weis | Nicola Rispoli | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 64% | 36% |
| Market | 87% | 13% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Alexander Weis (rating 1563 vs 1465).
- Alexander Weis is in better form: 70% recent wins.
Statistics
| Alexander Weis | Nicola Rispoli | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 40% |
| Win % · Clay | 50% (2) | 25% (4) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.5-0.7 | 1-1.2 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.3-10.4 | 10.1-11.1 |
| Aces | 3.5 | 2.6 |
| Double faults | 0.7 | 2.4 |
| 1st serve % | 72.1% | 65.2% |
| Break % | 46.8% | 47.3% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.1
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Alexander Weis
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/07 | Sean Cuenin M25 Uriage |
1-2 | 13-17 | L |
| 17/07 | Florent Bax M25 Uriage |
2-1 | 18-17 | W |
| 16/07 | Andrea M'chich M25 Uriage |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 15/07 | Nicola Senn M25 Uriage |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 11/07 | Yanis Ghazouani Durand M25 Bastia-Lucciana |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 10/07 | Cosme Rolland De Ravel M25 Bastia-Lucciana |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
| 09/07 | Damien Salvestre M25 Bastia-Lucciana |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 08/07 | Arthur Bonnaud M25 Bastia-Lucciana |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 03/07 | Kalin Ivanovski M25 Skopje · ~Clay |
0-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 02/07 | Kacper Szymkowiak M25 Skopje · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
Nicola Rispoli
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/07 | Peter Buldorini M15 Segrate |
1-2 | 11-13 | L |
| 20/07 | Lorenzo Berto M15 Segrate |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 16/06 | Gian Marco Ortenzi M25 Milano · ~Clay |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 27/05 | Lucio Ratti M25 Grado · ~Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 26/05 | Lars Aregger M25 Grado · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 29/04 | Andrea Fiorentini M15 Hurghada · ~Clay |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 16/11 | Federico Arnaboldi Challenger Bergamo · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 30/10 | Niklas Schell ITF M15 Selva Gardena · Hard |
1-2 | 12-17 | L |
| 29/10 | Calvin Mueller ITF M15 Selva Gardena · Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 28/10 | Tymur Bieldiugin ITF M15 Selva Gardena · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Alexander Weis vs Nicola Rispoli?
Our model gives 76% to Alexander Weis, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.