Tennis · M15 Bali · 28/07, 04:00

Prediction: Yuta Kawahashi vs Sam Ryan Ziegann

Team pages: Yuta Kawahashi · Sam Ryan Ziegann

Prediction summary
Winner
56% 44%
Yuta Kawahashi Sam Ryan Ziegann
Estimated games
21.8
Recent form · 10 last
Yuta Kawahashi 5-5 (W-L)
WWWWLWLLLL
Sam Ryan Ziegann 6-4 (W-L)
WWLWLLLWWW
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Yuta Kawahashi 1460 · Sam Ryan Ziegann 1469
Yuta KawahashiSam Ryan Ziegann
Our model49%51%
Market63%38%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Statistics

Yuta KawahashiSam Ryan Ziegann
Win %30%40%
Win % · Hard 38% (8) 50% (2)
Sets (G-P)0.9-1.41.1-1.3
Games (G-P)9.4-11.810.6-11.5
Aces0.83.8
Double faults3.73.1
1st serve %60.6%66%
Break %38.4%40.7%
Estimated total games (ours) 21.8

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Yuta Kawahashi

WLLLL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
21/07 Ryotaro Taguchi
M15 Bali
0-2 4-12 L
07/07 Noritaka Koizumi
M15 Wuning · ~Hard
0-1 5-6 L
30/06 Hanyi Liu
M15 Wuning · ~Hard
0-2 7-12 L
26/06 Matthew Dellavedova
M15 Wuning · ~Hard
0-2 4-12 L
25/06 Arvid Nordquist
M15 Wuning · ~Hard
2-0 13-6 W
23/06 Xing Dao Chen
M15 Wuning · ~Hard
2-1 14-13 W
04/06 Youssef Kadiri Hassani
M15 Harmon · ~Hard
1-2 14-15 L
03/06 Kazuma Kawachi
M15 Harmon · ~Hard
2-0 13-9 W
27/05 Noritaka Koizumi
M15 Karuizawa · ~Clay
1-2 8-15 L
17/05 Ryotaro Taguchi
Challenger Bengaluru · Hard
1-2 12-18 L

Sam Ryan Ziegann

LLWWL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
24/07 Thanaphat Boosarawongse
M15 Bali
1-2 13-17 L
23/07 Fitriadi M Rifqi
M15 Bali
2-0 12-8 W
22/07 Anthony Susanto
M15 Bali
2-0 12-3 W
05/07 William Jansen
Challenger Nottingham · Grass
0-2 3-12 L
02/07 Ioannis Kountourakis
M25 Skopje · ~Clay
1-2 13-17 L
18/06 John Hallquist Lithen
M15 Gyula · ~Clay
0-2 7-13 L
16/06 Stefan Seifert
M15 Gyula · ~Clay
2-1 14-15 W
10/06 Jeremy Gschwendtner
M15 Curtea de Arges · ~Clay
0-2 4-12 L
04/06 Imran Daniel Abdul Hazli
M15 Luan · ~Hard
1-2 16-16 L
03/06 Alexey Aleshchev
M15 Luan · ~Hard
2-0 12-2 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Yuta Kawahashi vs Sam Ryan Ziegann?

Our model gives 56% to Yuta Kawahashi, using surface Elo on hard.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.