Tennis · M15 Sao Paulo · 27/07, 20:30

Prediction: Victor Hugo Remondy Pagotto vs Tomas Jordi Leston

Prediction summary
Winner
51% 49%
Victor Hugo Remondy Pagotto Tomas Jordi Leston
Estimated games
21.7
Recent form · 10 last
Victor Hugo Remondy Pagotto 4-6 (W-L)
LWLWLWLLLW
Tomas Jordi Leston 3-7 (W-L)
LLLLLWLWWL
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Victor Hugo Remondy Pagotto 1448 · Tomas Jordi Leston 1477
Victor Hugo Remondy PagottoTomas Jordi Leston
Our model46%54%
Market56%44%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Note: Victor Hugo Remondy Pagotto makes many double faults (4.8/match).

Statistics

Victor Hugo Remondy PagottoTomas Jordi Leston
Win %30%40%
Win % · Clay 25% (8) 33% (3)
Sets (G-P)1-1.41-1.4
Games (G-P)10.8-11.59.3-11.2
Aces1.91.2
Double faults4.83.6
1st serve %60.9%61.7%
Break %54.7%43.7%
Estimated total games (ours) 21.7

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Victor Hugo Remondy Pagotto

WLLLW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
20/07 Tomas Dummer Macedo
M25 Sao Paulo
2-0 12-6 W
21/06 Lucas Andrade da Silva
Challenger Piracicaba · Clay
0-2 7-12 L
10/06 Pedro Rodrigues
M15 Brasilia
1-2 16-17 L
04/06 Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida
M25 Cuiaba · ~Clay
0-2 5-12 L
03/06 Breno Braga
M25 Cuiaba · ~Clay
2-0 12-2 W
20/05 Mateus Alves
M15 Maringa · ~Clay
0-2 7-12 L
13/05 Tomas Martinez
M15 Maringa · ~Clay
1-2 14-17 L
05/05 Bruno Fernandez
Challenger Santos · Clay
1-2 11-15 L
04/05 Noah Schachter
Challenger Santos · Clay
2-0 12-6 W
30/04 Fernando Cavallo
M15 Quito · ~Clay
1-2 12-16 L

Tomas Jordi Leston

WLWWL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
15/07 Maximo Zeitune
M15 Villa Constitucion
0-2 6-12 L
14/07 Alex Santino Nunez Vera
M15 Villa Constitucion
2-0 12-8 W
13/07 Santiago Pesino
M15 Villa Constitucion
2-1 11-12 W
07/07 Valentino Grippo
M15 San Salvador de Jujuy
0-2 9-13 L
06/07 Leonel Cesar Castro
M15 San Salvador de Jujuy
2-0 13-5 W
03/06 Gabriel Schenekenberg
M25 Cuiaba · ~Clay
0-2 5-12 L
01/06 Benjamin Chelia
M25 Cuiaba · ~Clay
2-1 11-11 W
18/11 Dante Pagani
ITF M15 Olavarria · Clay
1-2 11-17 L
05/11 Pedro Boscardin Dias
ITF M25 Santa Cruz do Sul
0-2 8-13 L
03/11 Marvin Spiering
ITF M25 Santa Cruz do Sul
1-2 7-9 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Victor Hugo Remondy Pagotto vs Tomas Jordi Leston?

Our model gives 51% to Victor Hugo Remondy Pagotto, using surface Elo on clay.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.