Tennis · M15 Sao Paulo · 27/07, 17:30
Prediction: Joao Vitor Scramin do Lago vs Santiago Pesino
Prediction summary
Winner
Joao Vitor Scramin do Lago
Santiago Pesino
Estimated games
22.1
Recent form · 10 last
Joao Vitor Scramin do Lago
4-6 (W-L)
Santiago Pesino
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Joao Vitor Scramin do Lago 1370 · Santiago Pesino 1477
| Joao Vitor Scramin do Lago | Santiago Pesino | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 35% | 65% |
| Market | 42% | 58% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Santiago Pesino (rating 1370 vs 1477).
- Santiago Pesino is in better form: 40% recent wins.
- Note: Joao Vitor Scramin do Lago makes many double faults (7.2/match).
Statistics
| Joao Vitor Scramin do Lago | Santiago Pesino | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 0% | 40% |
| Win % · Clay | 0% (9) | 25% (4) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.4-2 | 1.4-1.3 |
| Games (G-P) | 9.1-13.4 | 11.5-10.1 |
| Aces | 0.2 | 1.2 |
| Double faults | 7.2 | 3.7 |
| 1st serve % | 53.3% | 66% |
| Break % | 39.8% | 43.7% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.1
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Joao Vitor Scramin do Lago
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/07 | Juan Estevez M25 Sao Paulo |
1-2 | 10-16 | L |
| 20/05 | Rafael Tosetto M15 Maringa · ~Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 14/05 | Nicolas Bruna M15 Maringa · ~Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 04/05 | Gabriel Schenekenberg Challenger Santos · Clay |
1-2 | 13-14 | L |
| 28/04 | Mario Andre Galarraga M15 Quito · ~Clay |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 22/04 | Felipe De Dios M15 Quito · ~Clay |
1-2 | 15-17 | L |
| 12/04 | Thiago Cigarran Challenger Santa Cruz · Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 05/04 | Benjamin Torrealba Challenger Campinas · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 29/03 | Wilson Leite Challenger Sao Leopoldo · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 23/03 | Breno Braga Challenger Sao Paulo · Clay |
1-2 | 16-14 | L |
Santiago Pesino
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/07 | Salvador Price M25 Sao Paulo |
1-2 | 13-15 | L |
| 21/07 | Bautista De La Pena M25 Sao Paulo |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 20/07 | Felipe Mifano Pinto M25 Sao Paulo |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 13/07 | Tomas Jordi Leston M15 Villa Constitucion |
1-2 | 12-11 | L |
| 07/07 | Federico Aguilar Cardozo M15 San Salvador de Jujuy |
1-2 | 13-15 | L |
| 06/07 | Dante Teramo M15 San Salvador de Jujuy |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 11/05 | Jackson Pereira Xavier M15 Maringa · ~Clay |
1-2 | 10-7 | L |
| 06/05 | Samuel Heredia M25 Villa Maria · ~Clay |
1-2 | 9-15 | L |
| 05/05 | Tomas Luna M25 Villa Maria · ~Clay |
2-1 | 9-8 | W |
| 29/04 | Nicolas Bruna M25 Lujan · ~Clay |
1-2 | 12-14 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Joao Vitor Scramin do Lago vs Santiago Pesino?
Our model gives 61% to Santiago Pesino, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.