Tennis · WTA Memphis · 28/07, 18:00
Prediction: Ekaterina Alexandrova vs Kristina Liutova
Prediction summary
Winner
Ekaterina Alexandrova
Kristina Liutova
Estimated games
21.1
Recent form · 10 last
Ekaterina Alexandrova
5-5 (W-L)
Kristina Liutova
8-2 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Ekaterina Alexandrova 1495 · Kristina Liutova 1605
| Ekaterina Alexandrova | Kristina Liutova | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 35% | 65% |
| Market | 73% | 27% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Kristina Liutova (rating 1495 vs 1605).
- Kristina Liutova is in better form: 90% recent wins.
- Note: Ekaterina Alexandrova makes many double faults (4.1/match).
Statistics
| Ekaterina Alexandrova | Kristina Liutova | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 90% |
| Win % · Hard | – | 89% (9) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1-1.3 | 1.8-0.5 |
| Games (G-P) | 11-11.2 | 12.4-7.9 |
| Aces | 4.6 | 0.8 |
| Double faults | 4.1 | 3.1 |
| 1st serve % | 66% | 64.6% |
| Break % | 35.9% | 56.5% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.1
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Ekaterina Alexandrova
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/07 | Iva Jovic Wimbledon Women · Grass |
1-2 | 13-15 | L |
| 01/07 | Lanlana Tararudee Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-0 | 14-10 | W |
| 29/06 | Panna Udvardy Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 25/06 | Naomi Osaka WTA Bad Homburg · Grass |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 24/06 | Mirra Andreeva WTA Bad Homburg · Grass |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 23/06 | Ann Li WTA Bad Homburg · Grass |
2-1 | 18-9 | W |
| 17/06 | Aryna Sabalenka WTA Berlin · Grass |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 08/06 | Panna Udvardy WTA Hertogenbosch · Grass |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 25/05 | Maria Camila Osorio French Open Women · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 19/05 | Ann Li WTA Strasbourg · Clay |
1-2 | 13-16 | L |
Kristina Liutova
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/07 | Maria Kozyreva WTA Memphis · Hard |
2-1 | 15-15 | W |
| 04/07 | Lucrezia Stefanini W100 Cary · ~Hard |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 02/07 | Sofia Johnson W100 Cary · ~Hard |
2-1 | 15-10 | W |
| 01/07 | Malaika Rapolu W100 Cary · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 07/06 | Reese Brantmeier W100 Sumter · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 06/06 | Whitney Osuigwe W100 Sumter · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 05/06 | Eryn Cayetano W100 Sumter · ~Hard |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
| 04/06 | Carolyn Ansari W100 Sumter · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 03/06 | Clervie Ngounoue W100 Sumter · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 10/05 | Julia Riera W100 Indian Harbour Beach · ~Clay |
2-1 | 18-11 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Ekaterina Alexandrova vs Kristina Liutova?
Our model gives 56% to Ekaterina Alexandrova, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.