Tennis · W50 Dublin · 27/07, 15:30
Prediction: Jodie Anna Burrage vs Kate Gardiner
Prediction summary
Winner
Jodie Anna Burrage
Kate Gardiner
Estimated games
19.4
Recent form · 10 last
Jodie Anna Burrage
4-6 (W-L)
Kate Gardiner
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Jodie Anna Burrage 1459 · Kate Gardiner 1511
| Jodie Anna Burrage | Kate Gardiner | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 43% | 57% |
| Market | 92% | 8% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Kate Gardiner (rating 1459 vs 1511).
- Kate Gardiner is in better form: 60% recent wins.
- Note: Jodie Anna Burrage makes many double faults (4.2/match).
- Note: Kate Gardiner makes many double faults (7.1/match).
Statistics
| Jodie Anna Burrage | Kate Gardiner | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 60% |
| Win % · Hard | 25% (4) | 56% (9) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.8-1.4 | 1.2-0.8 |
| Games (G-P) | 9.8-10.2 | 9.7-7.7 |
| Aces | 5.3 | 1.1 |
| Double faults | 4.2 | 7.1 |
| 1st serve % | 69.8% | 62.2% |
| Break % | 40.8% | 40.9% |
Estimated total games (ours)
19.4
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Jodie Anna Burrage
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/07 | Margot Phanthala W50 Dublin |
2-0 | 12-0 | W |
| 09/07 | Melisa Ercan W35 Don Benito |
0-2 | 5-8 | L |
| 08/07 | Stefaniya Pushkar W35 Don Benito |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 07/06 | Anna Blinkova WTA Queens · Grass |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 30/05 | Greet Minnen WTA Birmingham · Grass |
1-2 | 14-19 | L |
| 23/09 | Yexin Ma WTA Jingshan · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 21/08 | Arantxa Rus US Open Women · Hard |
1-2 | 15-18 | L |
| 18/08 | Patricia Maria Tig US Open Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 11/08 | Kaede Usui ITF W50 Saskatoon |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 05/08 | Kamilla Rakhimova WTA Cincinnati · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
Kate Gardiner
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/07 | Ginevra Montebruno W50 Dublin |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 24/06 | Amy Zhu W15 Claremont · ~Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 23/06 | Abigeyle Bhopal W15 Claremont · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 20/06 | Gabriella Davydov UTR Pro Seattle Women · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 19/06 | Alexia Jacobs UTR Pro Seattle Women · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 19/06 | Madelynn Ludwig UTR Pro Seattle Women · Hard |
2-0 | 13-5 | W |
| 17/06 | Jessica Maccallum UTR Pro Seattle Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 16/06 | Marta Giglio UTR Pro Seattle Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 12/06 | Bella Lewis UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 11/06 | Skylar Kasday UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Jodie Anna Burrage vs Kate Gardiner?
Our model gives 69% to Jodie Anna Burrage, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.