Tennis · W50 Dublin · 27/07, 14:00

Prediction: Chloe Noel vs Caterina Odorizzi

Prediction summary
Winner
78% 22%
Chloe Noel Caterina Odorizzi
Estimated games
19.2
Recent form · 10 last
Chloe Noel 7-3 (W-L)
LWWWLWWWLW
Caterina Odorizzi 3-7 (W-L)
LLLLLWWLWL
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Chloe Noel 1568 · Caterina Odorizzi 1448
Chloe NoelCaterina Odorizzi
Our model67%33%
Market88%12%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Chloe Noel (rating 1568 vs 1448).
  • Chloe Noel is in better form: 70% recent wins.

Statistics

Chloe NoelCaterina Odorizzi
Win %70%30%
Win % · Clay 0% (1) 0% (4)
Sets (G-P)1.4-0.80.6-1.4
Games (G-P)10.9-8.56.5-10
Aces4.10.7
Double faults2.82.8
1st serve %70.6%50.7%
Break %51.2%53.5%
Estimated total games (ours) 19.2

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Chloe Noel

WWWLW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
26/07 Olivia Gram
W50 Dublin
2-0 12-2 W
16/07 Martyna Kubka
W75 Vitoria Gasteiz
0-2 4-12 L
15/07 Meritxell Teixido Garcia
W75 Vitoria Gasteiz
2-0 13-6 W
13/07 Stefaniya Pushkar
W75 Vitoria Gasteiz
2-0 12-7 W
12/07 Polina Isakova
W75 Vitoria Gasteiz
2-0 12-2 W
09/07 Anastasia Kulikova
W50 Corroios-Seixal
0-2 4-12 L
08/07 Matilde Jorge
W50 Corroios-Seixal
2-1 15-14 W
06/07 Andre Lukosiute
W50 Corroios-Seixal
2-1 16-12 W
05/07 Emilija Tverijonaite
W50 Corroios-Seixal
2-0 12-5 W
22/06 Min Liu
W50 Palma del Rio · ~Clay
0-2 9-13 L

Caterina Odorizzi

WWLWL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
13/07 Zuzanna Kolonus
W50 Nottingham
0-2 5-12 L
12/07 Zainab Williams
W50 Nottingham
2-0 12-7 W
30/06 Hina Inoue
W50 Elvas · ~Hard
0-2 4-12 L
29/06 Belle Thompson
W50 Elvas · ~Hard
2-0 12-5 W
28/06 Elizabeth Jurna
W50 Elvas · ~Hard
2-0 12-4 W
21/06 Raquel Caballero Chica
W50 Palma del Rio · ~Clay
0-2 2-12 L
03/06 Berta Bonardi
W15 Monastir · ~Hard
0-2 1-12 L
13/05 Anna Snigireva
W35 Hurghada · ~Clay
0-2 5-12 L
06/05 Doga Turkmen
W15 Hurghada · ~Clay
0-2 7-12 L
29/04 Sofia Martianova
W15 Hurghada · ~Clay
0-2 5-12 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Chloe Noel vs Caterina Odorizzi?

Our model gives 78% to Chloe Noel, using surface Elo on clay.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.