Tennis · W35 Aldershot · 27/07, 14:00
Prediction: Matilde Mariani vs Ciara Moore
Team pages: Matilde Mariani · Ciara Moore
Prediction summary
Winner
Matilde Mariani
Ciara Moore
Estimated games
19.4
Recent form · 10 last
Matilde Mariani
5-5 (W-L)
Ciara Moore
4-6 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Matilde Mariani 1510 · Ciara Moore 1501
| Matilde Mariani | Ciara Moore | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 51% | 49% |
| Market | 50% | 50% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Note: Matilde Mariani makes many double faults (5.3/match).
Statistics
| Matilde Mariani | Ciara Moore | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 50% |
| Win % · Hard | 56% (9) | 60% (5) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.2-1.1 | 1-1.2 |
| Games (G-P) | 9.9-8.6 | 8.8-9 |
| Aces | 0.5 | 0.8 |
| Double faults | 5.3 | 3.9 |
| 1st serve % | 58.1% | 65.9% |
| Break % | 59.1% | 58% |
Estimated total games (ours)
19.4
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Matilde Mariani
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/07 | Eloise Newberry W35 Aldershot |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 16/07 | Kristina Paskauskas W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 14/07 | Margaux Komano W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-1 | 17-12 | W |
| 09/07 | Katja Wiersholm W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 07/07 | Sofia Avataneo W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 9-3 | W |
| 26/06 | Lenka Munzarova W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 25/06 | Sofia Avataneo W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-1 | 14-10 | W |
| 24/06 | Summer Yardley W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-1 | 14-6 | W |
| 21/06 | Lucie Pawlak W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 3-7 | L |
| 20/06 | Mariia Nozdrachova W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
Ciara Moore
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/07 | Edie Griffiths W35 Aldershot |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 13/07 | Eliz Maloney W50 Nottingham |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 27/10 | Anna Petkovic ITF W75 Glasgow · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 26/10 | Madison Frahn ITF W75 Glasgow · Hard |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 20/10 | Addison Yang Comiskey ITF W100 Tyler · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 12/10 | Sabine Rutlauka W35 Birmingham |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 29/09 | Georgiana Mititelu ITF W35 Reims · Hard |
2-1 | 10-12 | W |
| 29/09 | Christina Bednarczyk ITF W35 Reims · Hard |
2-1 | 10-7 | W |
| 02/09 | Julie Belgraver ITF W50 Leiria |
0-2 | 9-12 | L |
| 01/09 | Carmen Gallardo Guevara ITF W50 Leiria |
2-0 | 13-5 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Matilde Mariani vs Ciara Moore?
Our model gives 51% to Matilde Mariani, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.