Tennis · M25 Pitesti · 27/07, 08:30
Prediction: Daniel Lara Salmeron vs Sasa Markovic
Prediction summary
Winner
Daniel Lara Salmeron
Sasa Markovic
Estimated games
20.6
Recent form · 10 last
Daniel Lara Salmeron
3-7 (W-L)
Sasa Markovic
2-8 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Daniel Lara Salmeron 1457 · Sasa Markovic 1456
| Daniel Lara Salmeron | Sasa Markovic | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 50% | 50% |
| Market | 27% | 73% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Note: Daniel Lara Salmeron makes many double faults (4.5/match).
Statistics
| Daniel Lara Salmeron | Sasa Markovic | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 30% |
| Win % · Hard | 40% (5) | 33% (6) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.7-1.5 | 0.8-1.5 |
| Games (G-P) | 8.2-11.6 | 9.5-11.8 |
| Aces | 0.7 | 4.8 |
| Double faults | 4.5 | 2.7 |
| 1st serve % | 58.8% | 65.2% |
| Break % | 31.1% | 43.8% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.6
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Daniel Lara Salmeron
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/07 | Dan Added M25 Roda de Bara |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 06/07 | Alvaro Jimenez M25 Roda de Bara |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 29/06 | Sebastian Dominko M25 Figueira da Foz · ~Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 28/05 | Robin Catry M15 Kutaisi · ~Hard |
1-2 | 16-18 | L |
| 27/05 | Kirill Mishkin M15 Kutaisi · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 25/05 | Yauheni Bursau M15 Kutaisi · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 05/04 | Calvin Hemery Challenger Madrid · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 03/03 | Adria Velazquez Farre M15 Torello · ~Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 04/12 | Mario Gonzalez Fernandez ITF M15 Madrid · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 03/12 | Sergio Planella Hernandez ITF M15 Madrid · Clay |
2-1 | 12-12 | W |
Sasa Markovic
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/07 | Liam Delicata M25 Skopje · ~Clay |
1-2 | 17-18 | L |
| 30/06 | Dimitar Hristov Berdankov M25 Skopje · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 24/06 | Alvaro Peiro Serrano M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 23/06 | Matteo Mesaglio M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 09/02 | Felix Corwin Challenger Baton Rouge · Hard |
1-2 | 13-17 | L |
| 09/02 | Strong Kirchheimer Challenger Baton Rouge · Hard |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
| 16/10 | JanMagnus Johnson UTR Pro Murfreesboro · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 15/10 | Leandro Zgraggen UTR Pro Murfreesboro · Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 14/10 | Hugo Maia UTR Pro Murfreesboro · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 13/10 | Freddy Murray UTR Pro Murfreesboro · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Daniel Lara Salmeron vs Sasa Markovic?
Our model gives 63% to Sasa Markovic, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.