Tennis · M25 Pitesti · 27/07, 08:30
Prediction: Filiberto Fumagalli vs Calin Teodor Stirbu
Prediction summary
Winner
Filiberto Fumagalli
Calin Teodor Stirbu
Estimated games
20.5
Recent form · 10 last
Filiberto Fumagalli
6-4 (W-L)
Calin Teodor Stirbu
7-3 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Filiberto Fumagalli 1542 · Calin Teodor Stirbu 1501
| Filiberto Fumagalli | Calin Teodor Stirbu | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 56% | 44% |
| Market | 78% | 22% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Filiberto Fumagalli (rating 1542 vs 1501).
Statistics
| Filiberto Fumagalli | Calin Teodor Stirbu | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 50% |
| Win % · Clay | 67% (6) | 50% (4) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.4-0.7 | 1.2-1.1 |
| Games (G-P) | 9-7.9 | 11.6-10.6 |
| Aces | 0.3 | 2 |
| Double faults | 3.1 | 3 |
| 1st serve % | 54.8% | 68% |
| Break % | 41.8% | 20% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.5
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Filiberto Fumagalli
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/07 | Lorenzo Bocchi M15 Nova Gorica |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 16/07 | Mak Mikovic M15 Nova Gorica |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 15/07 | Jeremy Gschwendtner M15 Nova Gorica |
2-1 | 13-12 | W |
| 14/07 | Lorenzo Balducci M15 Nova Gorica |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 26/06 | Federico Arnaboldi M15 Bergamo · ~Clay |
0-2 | 0-12 | L |
| 25/06 | Lorenzo Bocchi M15 Bergamo · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-5 | W |
| 24/06 | Gabriele Pennaforti M15 Bergamo · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 22/06 | Jacopo Bilardo M15 Bergamo · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 19/06 | Mickael Kaouk M15 Bourg-en-Bresse · ~Clay |
0-2 | 0-12 | L |
| 18/06 | Seydina Andre M15 Bourg-en-Bresse · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
Calin Teodor Stirbu
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/06 | Nikola Keremedchiev UTR Pro Skopje · Clay |
1-2 | 15-15 | L |
| 18/06 | Lars Goran Verwerft UTR Pro Skopje · Clay |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 17/06 | Milan Markovits UTR Pro Skopje · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 15/06 | Alexandre Verlaguet UTR Pro Skopje · Clay |
2-1 | 19-17 | W |
| 30/05 | Darius Florin Pop UTR Pro Match Series · Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 29/05 | James McGloughlin UTR Pro Match Series · Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 28/05 | Santiago Franchini UTR Pro Match Series · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 26/05 | Kai Cowcher UTR Pro Match Series · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 25/05 | Sergio Ingles Garre UTR Pro Match Series · Hard |
1-2 | 16-17 | L |
| 08/02 | Ryan Fishback Challenger Baton Rouge · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Filiberto Fumagalli vs Calin Teodor Stirbu?
Our model gives 68% to Filiberto Fumagalli, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.