Tennis · M25 Aldershot · 27/07, 14:00
Prediction: Billy Blaydes vs Freddie Ridout
Prediction summary
Winner
Billy Blaydes
Freddie Ridout
Estimated games
20
Recent form · 10 last
Billy Blaydes
8-2 (W-L)
Freddie Ridout
6-4 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Billy Blaydes
1–0
Freddie Ridout
(1 last)
- 09 Jul2-0 12-5W
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Billy Blaydes 1549 · Freddie Ridout 1506
| Billy Blaydes | Freddie Ridout | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 56% | 44% |
| Market | 79% | 21% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Billy Blaydes (rating 1549 vs 1506).
- Head-to-head: Billy Blaydes 1–0 Freddie Ridout (1).
Statistics
| Billy Blaydes | Freddie Ridout | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 50% |
| Win % · Hard | 67% (9) | 0% (2) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.6-0.5 | 1.2-1.1 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.6-8.8 | 8.9-8.9 |
| Aces | 4.3 | 1.8 |
| Double faults | 2.7 | 2.1 |
| 1st serve % | 72.5% | 62.2% |
| Break % | 41.7% | 56.6% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20
H2H · Billy Blaydes 1 – 0 Freddie Ridout (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Billy Blaydes 1–0 Freddie Ridout
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 09/07/23 M25 Nottingham | 2-0 | 12-5 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Billy Blaydes
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/07 | Anuj Watane M25 Aldershot |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 01/07 | Aziz Ouakaa M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
1-2 | 14-16 | L |
| 30/06 | Gawad El Feky M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 24/06 | Cesar Bouchelaghem M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
1-2 | 14-17 | L |
| 23/06 | Yash Chaurasia M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 20/06 | Ergi Kirkin M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-1 | 10-12 | L |
| 19/06 | Paul Inchauspe M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 18/06 | Gianluca Carlini M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 17/06 | Rayen Hermassi M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 16/06 | Joseph Hernandez M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
Freddie Ridout
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/07 | Finn Reilly M25 Aldershot |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 26/05 | Jakub Kroslak M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
1-2 | 11-13 | L |
| 06/05 | Patrick Zahraj M25 Nottingham |
0-2 | 2-11 | L |
| 04/05 | Patrick Foley M25 Nottingham |
2-1 | 12-11 | W |
| 03/05 | Vladimir Anatol Grintescu M25 Nottingham Qual |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 29/04 | Luke Hooper M25 Nottingham |
1-2 | 11-17 | L |
| 27/04 | Louis Hull M25 Nottingham |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 26/04 | Albert Calin M25 Nottingham |
2-0 | 9-4 | W |
| 02/03 | Didrik Liljekvist UTR Pro Boca Raton · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 18/02 | Bruno Kuzuhara M15 Naples · ~Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Billy Blaydes vs Freddie Ridout?
Our model gives 69% to Billy Blaydes, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.