Tennis · M15 Bali · 27/07, 05:30

Prediction: Corban Crowther vs Ren Nakamura

Prediction summary
Winner
53% 47%
Corban Crowther Ren Nakamura
Estimated games
20.3
Recent form · 10 last
Corban Crowther 5-5 (W-L)
LWWLWLLWLW
Ren Nakamura 2-8 (W-L)
LLWLLLLWLL
Head-to-head
Corban Crowther 0–2 Ren Nakamura (2 last)
  • 20 Jul1-2 9-9L
  • 02 May0-2 7-13L
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Corban Crowther 1502 · Ren Nakamura 1463
Corban CrowtherRen Nakamura
Our model56%44%
Market50%50%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Head-to-head: Corban Crowther 0–2 Ren Nakamura (2).

Statistics

Corban CrowtherRen Nakamura
Win %50%40%
Win % · Hard 43% (7) 29% (7)
Sets (G-P)1.4-1.20.8-1.5
Games (G-P)11.6-9.98.1-10.6
Aces32.5
Double faults31.9
1st serve %69%63.2%
Break %76.4%53.4%
Estimated total games (ours) 20.3

H2H · Corban Crowther 02 Ren Nakamura (2)

Head-to-head (H2H) · Corban Crowther 02 Ren Nakamura

Swipe the table sideways →

DateSetsGamesRes.
20/07/26
M15 Bali
1-29-9L
02/05/22
ITF M15 Cairo
0-27-13L

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Corban Crowther

WLWLW

Swipe the table sideways →

Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
26/07 Eric Matthew Gunawan
M15 Bali Qual
2-0 12-1 W
20/07 Ren Nakamura
M15 Bali
1-2 9-9 L
19/07 Diordan Macababbad
M15 Bali
2-1 9-10 W
09/07 Imran Daniel Abdul Hazli
UTR Pro Phan Thiet · Hard
1-2 14-15 L
08/07 Jack Bruce-Smith
UTR Pro Phan Thiet · Hard
2-1 16-15 W
07/07 Minh Phat Nguyen
UTR Pro Phan Thiet · Hard
2-0 12-1 W
06/07 Thanh Minh Truong
UTR Pro Phan Thiet · Hard
0-2 8-13 L
05/07 Taichi Wakamatsu
UTR Pro Phan Thiet · Hard
2-0 12-5 W
30/06 Yuto Oki
M15 Tokyo · ~Hard
1-2 9-13 L
24/06 Toshiki Karigyo
UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard
1-2 15-17 L

Ren Nakamura

WLWLW

Swipe the table sideways →

Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
26/07 Diordan Macababbad
M15 Bali Qual
2-1 13-11 W
22/07 Keisuke Saitoh
M15 Bali
0-2 4-12 L
20/07 Corban Crowther
M15 Bali
2-1 9-9 W
08/07 Taiyo Yamanaka
M15 Tokyo · ~Hard
0-2 7-12 L
07/07 Taketo Takamisawa
M15 Tokyo · ~Hard
2-1 11-12 W
30/06 Ryota Tanuma
M15 Tokyo · ~Hard
0-2 6-13 L
29/04 Maxwell McKennon
M15 Villahermosa · ~Hard
0-2 7-12 L
29/04 Wulfrano Martinez Mora Esdras
M15 Villahermosa · ~Hard
2-0 12-1 W
21/04 Drew Van Orderlain
M25 Xalapa · ~Hard
0-2 6-12 L
26/03 Scott Jones
M15 Swan Hill · ~Hard
0-2 6-12 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Corban Crowther vs Ren Nakamura?

Our model gives 53% to Corban Crowther, using surface Elo on hard.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.