Tennis · M15 Bali · 27/07, 04:00

Prediction: Stefan Storch vs Yuya Hirose

Prediction summary
Winner
54% 46%
Stefan Storch Yuya Hirose
Estimated games
20
Recent form · 10 last
Stefan Storch 4-6 (W-L)
LWWLWLLLLW
Yuya Hirose 6-4 (W-L)
WWLWWLWLLW
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Stefan Storch 1462 · Yuya Hirose 1521
Stefan StorchYuya Hirose
Our model42%58%
Market65%35%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Yuya Hirose (rating 1462 vs 1521).
  • Note: Yuya Hirose makes many double faults (5/match).

Statistics

Stefan StorchYuya Hirose
Win %40%60%
Win % · Hard 38% (8) 67% (6)
Sets (G-P)1-1.31.2-1
Games (G-P)10-10.510.2-8.6
Aces5.40.2
Double faults3.65
1st serve %68.8%64.2%
Break %36.5%47.3%
Estimated total games (ours) 20

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Stefan Storch

WLLLW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
26/07 Renaldi Aqila A Salim
M15 Bali Qual
2-0 12-4 W
19/07 Ethan David Zapp
M15 Bali
0-2 10-13 L
14/07 Asahi Harazaki
M15 Wuning · ~Hard
0-2 4-12 L
11/06 Uisung Park
M15 Maanshan · ~Hard
0-2 3-12 L
10/06 Aoran Wang
M15 Maanshan · ~Hard
2-1 15-11 W
09/06 Yue Xia
M15 Maanshan · ~Hard
2-0 12-6 W
03/06 Hoyoung Roh
M15 Harmon · ~Hard
0-2 6-12 L
20/05 Allan Gatoto
M15 Gaborone · ~Hard
1-2 13-16 L
18/05 Maksim Mihic
M15 Gaborone · ~Hard
2-0 12-4 W
14/05 Thando Longwe-Smit
M15 Gaborone · ~Hard
1-2 13-15 L

Yuya Hirose

LWLLW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
26/07 Ethan David Zapp
M15 Bali Qual
2-0 12-2 W
22/07 Yuttana Charoenphon
M15 Bali
0-2 7-12 L
20/07 Yuttana Charoenphon
M15 Bali
0-2 10-13 L
19/07 Finley Dyer
M15 Bali
2-1 8-7 W
04/06 Tai Leonard Sach
M15 Harmon · ~Hard
0-2 5-12 L
02/06 Gray Voelzke
M15 Harmon · ~Hard
2-1 20-18 W
01/06 Yuki Karatsu
M15 Harmon · ~Hard
2-0 12-4 W
17/02 Noah Brownrigg
M15 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard
0-2 4-12 L
30/11 Jacob K Shen
UTR Pro Kakogawa · Hard
2-0 12-2 W
29/11 Yamato Nishiyama
UTR Pro Kakogawa · Hard
2-0 12-4 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Stefan Storch vs Yuya Hirose?

Our model gives 54% to Stefan Storch, using surface Elo on hard.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.