Tennis · Challenger Vancouver · 28/07, 19:00
Prediction: August Holmgren vs Hugo Grenier
Prediction summary
Winner
August Holmgren
Hugo Grenier
Estimated games
22.1
Recent form · 10 last
August Holmgren
3-7 (W-L)
Hugo Grenier
3-7 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · August Holmgren 1524 · Hugo Grenier 1430
| August Holmgren | Hugo Grenier | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 63% | 37% |
| Market | 66% | 34% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours August Holmgren (rating 1524 vs 1430).
- August Holmgren is in better form: 50% recent wins.
- Note: August Holmgren makes many double faults (6.3/match).
Statistics
| August Holmgren | Hugo Grenier | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 20% |
| Win % · Hard | 67% (6) | 67% (3) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.3-1.3 | 0.5-1.7 |
| Games (G-P) | 13.4-13.1 | 8.4-11.5 |
| Aces | 9.1 | 5.4 |
| Double faults | 6.3 | 3.5 |
| 1st serve % | 77.5% | 63.7% |
| Break % | 27.4% | 31.5% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.1
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
August Holmgren
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/07 | Liam Draxl Challenger Winnipeg · Hard |
1-2 | 15-14 | L |
| 22/07 | Garrett Johns Challenger Winnipeg · Hard |
2-1 | 19-15 | W |
| 19/07 | Aleksandar Vukic Challenger Granby · Hard |
1-2 | 13-15 | L |
| 17/07 | Justin Boulais Challenger Granby · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 15/07 | Aidan Mayo Challenger Granby · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 14/07 | Yosuke Watanuki Challenger Granby · Hard |
2-1 | 19-16 | W |
| 08/07 | Tristan Schoolkate Challenger Newport · Grass |
1-2 | 13-18 | L |
| 24/06 | Jerome Kym Wimbledon · Grass |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 22/06 | Liam Broady Wimbledon · Grass |
2-1 | 18-17 | W |
| 16/06 | Roman Safiullin Challenger Nottingham · Grass |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
Hugo Grenier
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/07 | Cyril Vandermeersch Challenger Pozoblanco · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 07/07 | Matthias Uwe Kask M25 Roda de Bara |
1-2 | 11-12 | L |
| 02/07 | Paul Inchauspe M25 Ajaccio · ~Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 30/06 | Tristan Berard M25 Ajaccio · ~Hard |
2-1 | 15-12 | W |
| 22/06 | Jaime Faria Wimbledon · Grass |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 13/06 | Oliver Okonkwo Challenger Nottingham · Grass |
0-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 08/06 | Luca Van Assche Challenger Lyon · Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 25/05 | Luca Nardi Challenger Chisinau · Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 18/05 | Lloyd Harris French Open · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 11/05 | Pierre Delage Challenger Bordeaux · Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in August Holmgren vs Hugo Grenier?
Our model gives 65% to August Holmgren, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.