Tennis · Challenger Vancouver · 28/07, 19:00
Prediction: Harry Wendelken vs Murphy Cassone
Prediction summary
Winner
Harry Wendelken
Murphy Cassone
Estimated games
25.5
Recent form · 10 last
Harry Wendelken
5-5 (W-L)
Murphy Cassone
5-5 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Harry Wendelken
0–1
Murphy Cassone
(1 last)
- 09 Jun0-2 10-13L
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Harry Wendelken 1450 · Murphy Cassone 1495
| Harry Wendelken | Murphy Cassone | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 44% | 56% |
| Market | 46% | 54% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Murphy Cassone (rating 1450 vs 1495).
- Head-to-head: Harry Wendelken 0–1 Murphy Cassone (1).
Statistics
| Harry Wendelken | Murphy Cassone | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 50% |
| Win % · Grass | 38% (8) | 25% (4) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.8-1.7 | 1.4-1.2 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.9-13.8 | 13.9-12.4 |
| Aces | 9.2 | 4.9 |
| Double faults | 3.3 | 2 |
| 1st serve % | 67.5% | 72.8% |
| Break % | 35.4% | 48.6% |
Estimated total games (ours)
25.5
H2H · Harry Wendelken 0 – 1 Murphy Cassone (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Harry Wendelken 0–1 Murphy Cassone
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 09/06/25 Challenger Ilkley | 0-2 | 10-13 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Harry Wendelken
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/06 | Valentin Royer Wimbledon · Grass |
1-3 | 15-22 | L |
| 20/06 | Aleksandar Vukic ATP Eastbourne · Grass |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 15/06 | Botic Van De Zandschulp ATP Queens · Grass |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 14/06 | Aleksandar Vukic ATP Queens · Grass |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 13/06 | Adam Walton ATP Queens · Grass |
2-1 | 18-13 | W |
| 08/06 | Jack Pinnington Jones Challenger Ilkley · Grass |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 04/06 | Mark Lajal Challenger Birmingham · Grass |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 02/06 | James Watt Challenger Birmingham · Grass |
2-1 | 19-17 | W |
| 19/05 | Luka Pavlovic French Open · Clay |
1-2 | 14-16 | L |
| 11/05 | Marco Cecchinato Challenger Zagreb · Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
Murphy Cassone
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/07 | Arthur Gea Challenger Granby · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 17/07 | Philip Sekulic Challenger Granby · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 16/07 | Blaise Bicknell Challenger Granby · Hard |
2-1 | 19-14 | W |
| 14/07 | Tristan Schoolkate Challenger Granby · Hard |
2-1 | 18-17 | W |
| 08/07 | Darwin Blanch Challenger Newport · Grass |
1-2 | 13-13 | L |
| 24/06 | Ethan Quinn ATP Mallorca · Grass |
1-2 | 13-18 | L |
| 21/06 | Alex Molcan ATP Mallorca · Grass |
1-2 | 14-16 | L |
| 20/06 | Filippo Romano ATP Mallorca · Grass |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 04/06 | Yuta Shimizu Challenger Tyler · Hard |
1-2 | 19-20 | L |
| 03/06 | Daniel Milavsky Challenger Tyler · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Harry Wendelken vs Murphy Cassone?
Our model gives 55% to Murphy Cassone, using surface Elo on grass.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (grass) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.