Tennis · Challenger Vancouver · 28/07, 19:00
Prediction: Jeffrey John Wolf vs Jacob Fearnley
Prediction summary
Winner
Jeffrey John Wolf
Jacob Fearnley
Estimated games
24.2
Recent form · 10 last
Jeffrey John Wolf
6-4 (W-L)
Jacob Fearnley
6-4 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Jeffrey John Wolf
0–1
Jacob Fearnley
(1 last)
- 24 Jul1-2 15-17L
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Jeffrey John Wolf 1556 · Jacob Fearnley 1618
| Jeffrey John Wolf | Jacob Fearnley | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 41% | 59% |
| Market | 41% | 59% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Jacob Fearnley (rating 1556 vs 1618).
- Jeffrey John Wolf dominates on serve: 6.2 aces and 54.1% break avg.
- Head-to-head: Jeffrey John Wolf 0–1 Jacob Fearnley (1).
- Note: Jacob Fearnley makes many double faults (6.9/match).
Statistics
| Jeffrey John Wolf | Jacob Fearnley | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 90% |
| Win % · Hard | 70% (10) | 100% (4) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.6-0.9 | 1.8-0.8 |
| Games (G-P) | 13.7-11.6 | 14.6-11.7 |
| Aces | 6.2 | 4.4 |
| Double faults | 3.6 | 6.9 |
| 1st serve % | 75% | 74.2% |
| Break % | 54.1% | 49.1% |
Estimated total games (ours)
24.2
H2H · Jeffrey John Wolf 0 – 1 Jacob Fearnley (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Jeffrey John Wolf 0–1 Jacob Fearnley
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 24/07/26 Challenger Bloomfield Hills | 1-2 | 15-17 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Jeffrey John Wolf
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/07 | Jacob Fearnley Challenger Bloomfield Hills · Hard |
1-2 | 15-17 | L |
| 23/07 | Coleman Wong Challenger Bloomfield Hills · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 21/07 | Colton Smith Challenger Bloomfield Hills · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 16/07 | Spencer Johnson Challenger Lincoln · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 30/06 | Jay Friend Challenger Cary · Hard |
1-2 | 16-18 | L |
| 21/06 | Gavin Young M25 Tulsa · ~Hard |
2-1 | 18-15 | W |
| 20/06 | Andres Martin M25 Tulsa · ~Hard |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
| 19/06 | Christian Langmo M25 Tulsa · ~Hard |
2-1 | 16-12 | W |
| 18/06 | Ilyas Milad Fahim M25 Tulsa · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 16/06 | Axel Nefve M25 Tulsa · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
Jacob Fearnley
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/07 | Michael Zheng Challenger Bloomfield Hills · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 24/07 | Jeffrey John Wolf Challenger Bloomfield Hills · Hard |
2-1 | 17-15 | W |
| 23/07 | Tristan Boyer Challenger Bloomfield Hills · Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 21/07 | Remy Bertola Challenger Bloomfield Hills · Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 12/07 | Adam Walton Challenger Newport · Grass |
2-1 | 18-17 | W |
| 11/07 | Alexis Galarneau Challenger Newport · Grass |
2-1 | 18-14 | W |
| 10/07 | Darwin Blanch Challenger Newport · Grass |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 10/07 | Stefan Kozlov Challenger Newport · Grass |
2-1 | 15-11 | W |
| 09/07 | Mark Lajal Challenger Newport · Grass |
2-1 | 16-12 | W |
| 02/07 | Jaume Munar Wimbledon · Grass |
0-3 | 14-19 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Jeffrey John Wolf vs Jacob Fearnley?
Our model gives 59% to Jacob Fearnley, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.