Tennis · Challenger Liberec · 27/07, 14:00

Prediction: Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi vs Oliver Crawford

Prediction summary
Winner
44% 56%
Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi Oliver Crawford
Estimated games
23.3
Recent form · 10 last
Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi 6-4 (W-L)
WWLWLWLWWL
Oliver Crawford 7-3 (W-L)
LWLWWWWWWL
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi 1539 · Oliver Crawford 1560
Luciano Emanuel AmbrogiOliver Crawford
Our model47%53%
Market42%58%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Statistics

Luciano Emanuel AmbrogiOliver Crawford
Win %70%70%
Win % · Clay 70% (10)
Sets (G-P)1.5-11.6-0.8
Games (G-P)12.6-11.413-10.5
Aces2.12.2
Double faults0.72
1st serve %62.5%69.6%
Break %42.9%44.9%
Estimated total games (ours) 23.3

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi

WLLWL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
09/07 Hernan Casanova
Challenger Bogota · Clay
0-2 8-13 L
07/07 Sergio Luis Hernandez Ramirez
Challenger Bogota · Clay
2-0 13-9 W
22/06 Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida
Challenger Piracicaba · Clay
1-2 11-18 L
18/06 Guido Ivan Justo
Challenger Asuncion · Clay
0-2 3-12 L
17/06 Santiago Rodriguez Taverna
Challenger Asuncion · Clay
2-0 12-8 W
16/06 Samuel Heredia
Challenger Asuncion · Clay
2-1 18-12 W
14/06 Johan Alexander Rodriguez
Challenger San Miguel de Tucuman · Clay
2-0 12-5 W
13/06 Guido Ivan Justo
Challenger San Miguel de Tucuman · Clay
2-1 17-13 W
12/06 Carlos Maria Zarate
Challenger San Miguel de Tucuman · Clay
2-1 13-12 W
11/06 Santiago Rodriguez Taverna
Challenger San Miguel de Tucuman · Clay
2-1 19-12 W

Oliver Crawford

LWWWL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
25/07 Matteo Martineau
Challenger Segovia · Hard
1-2 16-18 L
24/07 Alejandro Moro Canas
Challenger Segovia · Hard
2-0 12-4 W
23/07 Alejo Sanchez Quilez
Challenger Segovia · Hard
2-0 13-10 W
21/07 Alex Marti Pujolras
Challenger Segovia · Hard
2-0 12-7 W
17/07 Chris Rodesch
Challenger Pozoblanco · Hard
1-2 18-19 L
15/07 Ivan Ivanov
Challenger Pozoblanco · Hard
2-1 17-11 W
14/07 Pablo Perez Navarro
Challenger Pozoblanco · Hard
2-0 12-7 W
11/07 Yanki Erel
M25 Roda de Bara
0-2 2-12 L
10/07 Dan Added
M25 Roda de Bara
2-0 12-7 W
09/07 Robin Bertrand
M25 Roda de Bara
2-1 16-10 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi vs Oliver Crawford?

Our model gives 56% to Oliver Crawford, using surface Elo on clay.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.