Tennis · ATP Los Cabos · 27/07, 03:00
Prediction: Tristan Boyer vs Bernard Tomic
Prediction summary
Winner
Tristan Boyer
Bernard Tomic
Estimated games
25.4
Recent form · 10 last
Tristan Boyer
7-3 (W-L)
Bernard Tomic
5-5 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Tristan Boyer
1–0
Bernard Tomic
(1 last)
- 13 Feb2-1 15-12W
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Tristan Boyer 1527 · Bernard Tomic 1539
| Tristan Boyer | Bernard Tomic | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 48% | 52% |
| Market | 61% | 39% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Tristan Boyer dominates on serve: 6.8 aces and 43.9% break avg.
- Head-to-head: Tristan Boyer 1–0 Bernard Tomic (1).
Statistics
| Tristan Boyer | Bernard Tomic | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 80% |
| Win % · Grass | 60% (5) | 50% (4) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.4-1.1 | 1.7-0.8 |
| Games (G-P) | 13.5-11.9 | 14.2-11.8 |
| Aces | 6.8 | 5 |
| Double faults | 3.2 | 3.4 |
| 1st serve % | 75.1% | 74.2% |
| Break % | 43.9% | 31.6% |
Estimated total games (ours)
25.4
H2H · Tristan Boyer 1 – 0 Bernard Tomic (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Tristan Boyer 1–0 Bernard Tomic
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 13/02/24 Challenger Bengaluru | 2-1 | 15-12 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Tristan Boyer
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/07 | Lorenzo Claverie ATP Los Cabos · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 23/07 | Jacob Fearnley Challenger Bloomfield Hills · Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 29/06 | Nuno Borges Wimbledon · Grass |
0-3 | 13-20 | L |
| 25/06 | Pablo Llamas Ruiz Wimbledon · Grass |
3-1 | 26-21 | W |
| 24/06 | Andrea Pellegrino Wimbledon · Grass |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 22/06 | Genaro Alberto Olivieri Wimbledon · Grass |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 15/06 | Jay Clarke Challenger Nottingham · Grass |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 13/06 | David Jorda Sanchis Challenger Lyon · Clay |
1-2 | 15-16 | L |
| 12/06 | Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo Challenger Lyon · Clay |
2-1 | 15-14 | W |
| 10/06 | Matteo Martineau Challenger Lyon · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
Bernard Tomic
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/07 | Miguel Tobon ATP Los Cabos · Hard |
2-1 | 18-17 | W |
| 20/07 | Mark Lajal Challenger Lincoln · Hard |
2-1 | 18-18 | W |
| 19/07 | Spencer Johnson Challenger Lincoln · Hard |
2-1 | 18-12 | W |
| 18/07 | Matthew Forbes Challenger Lincoln · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 16/07 | James McCabe Challenger Lincoln · Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 15/07 | Darwin Blanch Challenger Lincoln · Hard |
2-1 | 18-14 | W |
| 09/07 | Adam Walton Challenger Newport · Grass |
1-2 | 12-16 | L |
| 08/07 | Braden Shick Challenger Newport · Grass |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 24/06 | Christopher O'Connell Wimbledon · Grass |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 22/06 | Kaichi Uchida Wimbledon · Grass |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Tristan Boyer vs Bernard Tomic?
Our model gives 55% to Tristan Boyer, using surface Elo on grass.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (grass) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.