Tennis · W35 Aldershot · 26/07, 11:00
Prediction: Lily Hutchings vs Mia Wainwright
Prediction summary
Winner
Lily Hutchings
Mia Wainwright
Estimated games
19
Recent form · 10 last
Lily Hutchings
6-4 (W-L)
Mia Wainwright
4-6 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Lily Hutchings 1478 · Mia Wainwright 1470
| Lily Hutchings | Mia Wainwright | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 51% | 49% |
| Market | 63% | 38% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| Lily Hutchings | Mia Wainwright | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 40% |
| Win % · Hard | 0% (2) | 25% (4) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1-1.2 | 0.8-1.2 |
| Games (G-P) | 10-10.2 | 6.8-9.2 |
| Aces | 2.2 | 1.4 |
| Double faults | 2.5 | 2.8 |
| 1st serve % | 63.8% | 56.4% |
| Break % | 42.7% | 47.3% |
Estimated total games (ours)
19
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Lily Hutchings
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/07 | Maaya Rajeshwaran Revathi W50 Nottingham |
1-2 | 9-16 | L |
| 12/07 | Beatris Spasova W50 Nottingham |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 04/05 | Solymar Colling W35 Nottingham Qual |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 28/04 | Yuriko Lily Miyazaki W35 Nottingham |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 27/04 | Margaret Sohns W35 Nottingham |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 26/04 | Lara Savic W35 Nottingham |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 19/04 | Paula Cembranos W50 Roehampton · ~Hard |
1-2 | 12-15 | L |
| 02/02 | Rebecca Munk Mortensen W35 Sheffield |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 01/02 | Marie Mettraux W35 Sheffield |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 11/01 | Amelia Rajecki W50 Manchester · ~Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
Mia Wainwright
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/07 | Ella Mcdonald W50 Nottingham |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 13/07 | Marelie Raath W50 Nottingham |
2-0 | 10-2 | W |
| 12/07 | Eloise Newberry W50 Nottingham |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 25/06 | Karla Bartel W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 23/06 | Gabriela Kawano Cho W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 27/05 | Luciana Moyano W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 20/05 | Anastasia Bertacchi W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 06/05 | Eliz Maloney W35 Nottingham |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 04/05 | Sabine Rutlauka W35 Nottingham Qual |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 04/05 | Eloise Newberry W35 Nottingham Qual |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Lily Hutchings vs Mia Wainwright?
Our model gives 57% to Lily Hutchings, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.