Tennis · W50 Dublin · 26/07, 19:00
Prediction: Chloe Noel vs Olivia Gram
Prediction summary
Winner
Chloe Noel
Olivia Gram
Estimated games
19.6
Recent form · 10 last
Chloe Noel
6-4 (W-L)
Olivia Gram
2-8 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Chloe Noel 1564 · Olivia Gram 1445
| Chloe Noel | Olivia Gram | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 66% | 34% |
| Market | 91% | 9% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Chloe Noel (rating 1564 vs 1445).
- Chloe Noel is in better form: 70% recent wins.
- Note: Olivia Gram makes many double faults (8.3/match).
Statistics
| Chloe Noel | Olivia Gram | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 20% |
| Win % · Clay | 50% (2) | 40% (5) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.4-0.9 | 0.4-1.6 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.3-9.8 | 5.3-10.8 |
| Aces | 3.1 | 0.8 |
| Double faults | 3.3 | 8.3 |
| 1st serve % | 69.6% | 54.9% |
| Break % | 49.8% | 35.6% |
Estimated total games (ours)
19.6
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Chloe Noel
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/07 | Martyna Kubka W75 Vitoria Gasteiz |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 15/07 | Meritxell Teixido Garcia W75 Vitoria Gasteiz |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 13/07 | Stefaniya Pushkar W75 Vitoria Gasteiz |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 12/07 | Polina Isakova W75 Vitoria Gasteiz |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 09/07 | Anastasia Kulikova W50 Corroios-Seixal |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 08/07 | Matilde Jorge W50 Corroios-Seixal |
2-1 | 15-14 | W |
| 06/07 | Andre Lukosiute W50 Corroios-Seixal |
2-1 | 16-12 | W |
| 05/07 | Emilija Tverijonaite W50 Corroios-Seixal |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 22/06 | Min Liu W50 Palma del Rio · ~Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 21/06 | Valentina Carreras Medina W50 Palma del Rio · ~Clay |
2-1 | 16-15 | W |
Olivia Gram
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/07 | Laetitia Sarrazin W15 Nogent-sur-Marne |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 12/07 | Sevil Yuldasheva W75 Vitoria Gasteiz |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 15/06 | Anastasiia Firman W75 Blois · ~Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 14/06 | Gabriela De Araujo Sandrini W75 Blois · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 07/06 | Valeriya Strakhova W75 Ceska Lipa · ~Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 13/05 | Loes Ebeling Koning W35 Bastad · ~Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 11/05 | Elin Siewertz W35 Bastad · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 04/05 | Eliz Maloney W35 Nottingham Qual |
0-2 | 1-12 | L |
| 26/04 | Solymar Colling W35 Nottingham |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 29/03 | Amandine Hesse W50 Nantes · ~Hard |
0-2 | 2-11 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Chloe Noel vs Olivia Gram?
Our model gives 80% to Chloe Noel, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.