Tennis · W50 Dublin · 26/07, 17:30
Prediction: Kate Gardiner vs Ginevra Montebruno
Prediction summary
Winner
Kate Gardiner
Ginevra Montebruno
Estimated games
19.6
Recent form · 10 last
Kate Gardiner
6-4 (W-L)
Ginevra Montebruno
3-7 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Kate Gardiner 1518 · Ginevra Montebruno 1491
| Kate Gardiner | Ginevra Montebruno | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 54% | 46% |
| Market | 50% | 50% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Note: Kate Gardiner makes many double faults (7.1/match).
- Note: Ginevra Montebruno makes many double faults (5/match).
Statistics
| Kate Gardiner | Ginevra Montebruno | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 50% |
| Win % · Hard | 60% (10) | 50% (4) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.2-0.9 | 1.1-1.2 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.3-8.4 | 9.2-10.3 |
| Aces | 1 | 0.6 |
| Double faults | 7.1 | 5 |
| 1st serve % | 60.8% | 59% |
| Break % | 41.3% | 35.2% |
Estimated total games (ours)
19.6
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Kate Gardiner
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/06 | Amy Zhu W15 Claremont · ~Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 23/06 | Abigeyle Bhopal W15 Claremont · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 20/06 | Gabriella Davydov UTR Pro Seattle Women · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 19/06 | Alexia Jacobs UTR Pro Seattle Women · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 19/06 | Madelynn Ludwig UTR Pro Seattle Women · Hard |
2-0 | 13-5 | W |
| 17/06 | Jessica Maccallum UTR Pro Seattle Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 16/06 | Marta Giglio UTR Pro Seattle Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 12/06 | Bella Lewis UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 11/06 | Skylar Kasday UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 09/06 | Amy Duong UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
2-1 | 18-13 | W |
Ginevra Montebruno
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/07 | Alice Soulie UTR Pro Winston-Salem · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 10/07 | Nikola Hlavata UTR Pro Winston-Salem Women · Hard |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 09/07 | Mia Horvit UTR Pro Winston-Salem Women · Hard |
1-2 | 11-18 | L |
| 08/07 | Megan Heuser UTR Pro Winston-Salem Women · Hard |
2-1 | 16-10 | W |
| 06/07 | Victoria Borodulina UTR Pro Winston-Salem Women · Hard |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 29/06 | Anastasia Bertacchi W35 Aix-les-Bains · ~Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 28/06 | Ashleigh Harvey W35 Aix-les-Bains · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 18/06 | Julia Stusek W35 Klosters · ~Clay |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 17/06 | Tess Elise Krstelj W35 Klosters · ~Clay |
2-1 | 15-9 | W |
| 15/06 | Kiara Cvetkovic W35 Klosters · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Kate Gardiner vs Ginevra Montebruno?
Our model gives 52% to Kate Gardiner, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.