Tennis · W50 Dublin · 26/07, 17:30
Prediction: Yelizaveta Trush vs Summer Yardley
Prediction summary
Winner
Yelizaveta Trush
Summer Yardley
Estimated games
20.1
Recent form · 10 last
Yelizaveta Trush
2-8 (W-L)
Summer Yardley
3-7 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Yelizaveta Trush 1440 · Summer Yardley 1384
| Yelizaveta Trush | Summer Yardley | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 58% | 42% |
| Market | 71% | 29% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Yelizaveta Trush (rating 1440 vs 1384).
- Note: Summer Yardley makes many double faults (6.9/match).
Statistics
| Yelizaveta Trush | Summer Yardley | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 10% |
| Win % · Clay | 30% (10) | 50% (2) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.8-1.6 | 0.6-1.8 |
| Games (G-P) | 8.4-11.3 | 6.6-11.8 |
| Aces | – | 2.1 |
| Double faults | – | 6.9 |
| 1st serve % | – | 53% |
| Break % | – | 34.9% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.1
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Yelizaveta Trush
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/07 | Sasha Sakura Stula UTR Pro Skopje Women · Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 17/07 | Andreea Diana Soare UTR Pro Skopje Women · Clay |
1-2 | 7-14 | L |
| 16/07 | Prisca Abbas UTR Pro Skopje Women · Clay |
1-2 | 14-15 | L |
| 15/07 | Maria Shmakova UTR Pro Skopje Women · Clay |
2-1 | 16-11 | W |
| 14/07 | Given Roach UTR Pro Skopje Women · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 13/07 | Jana Stojanova UTR Pro Skopje Women · Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 06/05 | Petra Sedlackova UTR Pro Trnava Women · Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 04/05 | Iaroslava Sviatetckaia UTR Pro Trnava Women · Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 03/05 | Victoria Chramcova UTR Pro Trnava Women · Clay |
2-1 | 14-9 | W |
| 04/04 | Patricia Georgiana Goina UTR Pro Trnava Women · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
Summer Yardley
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/07 | Georgiana Mititelu W50 Nottingham |
1-2 | 12-15 | L |
| 07/07 | Georgina Hays W35 Don Benito |
1-2 | 11-12 | L |
| 30/06 | Tasnim Ismail W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 24/06 | Matilde Mariani W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
1-2 | 6-14 | L |
| 17/06 | Sarra Attig W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 11/06 | Martyna Kubka W50 Hurghada · ~Clay |
0-2 | 0-12 | L |
| 09/06 | Elizaveta Rozhkova W50 Hurghada · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 01/06 | Savannah Broadus W50 Montemor-o-Novo · ~Hard |
0-2 | 0-12 | L |
| 04/05 | Zainab Williams W35 Nottingham Qual |
1-2 | 9-11 | L |
| 27/04 | Sabine Rutlauka W35 Nottingham |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Yelizaveta Trush vs Summer Yardley?
Our model gives 65% to Yelizaveta Trush, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.