Tennis · W50 Knokke-Heist · 26/07, 11:30
Prediction: Anastasia Abbagnato vs Lisa Claeys
Prediction summary
Winner
Anastasia Abbagnato
Lisa Claeys
Estimated games
22.7
Recent form · 10 last
Anastasia Abbagnato
3-7 (W-L)
Lisa Claeys
8-2 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Anastasia Abbagnato 1423 · Lisa Claeys 1566
| Anastasia Abbagnato | Lisa Claeys | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 31% | 69% |
| Market | 58% | 42% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Lisa Claeys (rating 1423 vs 1566).
- Lisa Claeys is in better form: 70% recent wins.
- Note: Lisa Claeys makes many double faults (4.4/match).
Statistics
| Anastasia Abbagnato | Lisa Claeys | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 20% | 70% |
| Win % · Clay | 17% (6) | 78% (9) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.7-1.7 | 1.5-0.9 |
| Games (G-P) | 9.5-13 | 12.5-10.7 |
| Aces | 2.1 | 1.2 |
| Double faults | 3.1 | 4.4 |
| 1st serve % | 60.7% | 61.3% |
| Break % | 35.3% | 53.7% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.7
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Anastasia Abbagnato
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/07 | Clara Burel WTA Palermo · Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 12/07 | Noemi Basiletti WTA Rome · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 05/07 | Lian Tran W75 The Hague |
1-2 | 17-14 | L |
| 17/06 | Ruien Zhang W35 San Gregorio · ~Clay |
1-2 | 10-15 | L |
| 11/06 | Camilla Gennaro W35 San Gregorio · ~Clay |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 10/06 | Galatea Ferro W35 San Gregorio · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 31/05 | Marta Lombardini W75 Caserta · ~Clay |
1-2 | 15-18 | L |
| 21/04 | Emma Jackson W35 Charlotte |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 18/03 | Jazmin Ortenzi W50 Chihuahua |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 17/03 | Diletta Cherubini W50 Chihuahua |
2-1 | 19-16 | W |
Lisa Claeys
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/07 | Kim Chiarello W15 Nogent-sur-Marne |
1-2 | 14-17 | L |
| 05/07 | Neus Torner Sensano W15 Getxo · ~Clay |
2-1 | 15-12 | W |
| 04/07 | Shannon Lam W15 Getxo · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 02/07 | Cayetana Gay W15 Getxo · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-5 | W |
| 01/07 | Jessica Bertoldo W15 Getxo · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 24/06 | Fabienne Gettwart W15 Alkmaar · ~Clay |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 20/06 | Marie Vogt W15 Dinard · ~Clay |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 19/06 | Tilwith Di Girolami W15 Dinard · ~Clay |
2-1 | 14-14 | W |
| 18/06 | Milena Ciocan W15 Dinard · ~Clay |
2-1 | 18-14 | W |
| 16/06 | Delia Gaillard W15 Dinard · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Anastasia Abbagnato vs Lisa Claeys?
Our model gives 55% to Lisa Claeys, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.