Tennis · WTA Targu Mures · 26/07, 10:00
Prediction: Elena Malygina vs Ekaterina Kazionova
Prediction summary
Winner
Elena Malygina
Ekaterina Kazionova
Estimated games
21.4
Recent form · 10 last
Elena Malygina
5-5 (W-L)
Ekaterina Kazionova
5-5 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Elena Malygina
2–2
Ekaterina Kazionova
(4 last)
- 23 Mar0-2 8-13L
- 15 Mar2-0 12-7W
- 10 Nov2-1 14-15W
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Elena Malygina 1475 · Ekaterina Kazionova 1481
| Elena Malygina | Ekaterina Kazionova | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 49% | 51% |
| Market | 63% | 38% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Note: Ekaterina Kazionova makes many double faults (4.6/match).
Statistics
| Elena Malygina | Ekaterina Kazionova | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 50% |
| Win % · Clay | 40% (5) | 43% (7) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1-1.4 | 1-1.2 |
| Games (G-P) | 9.8-12 | 10.1-10.1 |
| Aces | 1.2 | 0.8 |
| Double faults | 3.4 | 4.6 |
| 1st serve % | 52.3% | 54.6% |
| Break % | 44.7% | 50.5% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.4
H2H · Elena Malygina 2 – 2 Ekaterina Kazionova (4)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Elena Malygina 2–2 Ekaterina Kazionova
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 23/03/26 W50 Croissy-Beaubourg | 0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 15/03/24 ITF W15 Karaganda | 2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 10/11/19 ITF W15 Parnu | 2-1 | 14-15 | W |
| 02/08/19 ITF W15 Savitaipale | 0-2 | 8-13 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Elena Malygina
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/07 | Jule Niemeier WTA Hamburg · Clay |
1-2 | 11-16 | L |
| 19/07 | Lisa Zaar WTA Hamburg · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 13/07 | Sofya Lansere WTA Rome · Clay |
1-2 | 11-16 | L |
| 12/07 | Viola Turini WTA Rome · Clay |
2-1 | 18-17 | W |
| 24/06 | Daria Kuczer W50 Gdansk · ~Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 20/06 | Elina Avanesyan Billie Jean King Cup |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 18/06 | Marie Weckerle Billie Jean King Cup |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 29/04 | Amandine Hesse W75 Lopota · ~Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 28/04 | Weronika Ewald W75 Lopota · ~Hard |
2-1 | 17-13 | W |
| 07/04 | Xinyu Gao W75 Calvi · ~Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
Ekaterina Kazionova
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/07 | Arantxa Rus WTA Hamburg · Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 12/07 | Carmen Andreea Herea WTA Iasi · Clay |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 09/07 | Rositsa Dencheva W35 Buzau |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 08/07 | Federica Sacco W35 Buzau |
2-1 | 13-11 | W |
| 07/07 | Ilinca D Amariei W35 Buzau |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 02/07 | Lucie Nguyen Tan W35 Aix-les-Bains · ~Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 30/06 | Liv Boulard W35 Aix-les-Bains · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 25/06 | Victoria Pohle W15 Kamen · ~Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 24/06 | Tessa Johanna Brockmann W15 Kamen · ~Clay |
2-1 | 19-15 | W |
| 23/06 | Anna Burchak W15 Kamen · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Elena Malygina vs Ekaterina Kazionova?
Our model gives 56% to Elena Malygina, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.