Tennis · UTR Pro Columbus Women · 28/07, 20:30
Prediction: Nao Nishino vs Ellison Reynoldson
Team pages: Ellison Reynoldson
Prediction summary
Winner
Nao Nishino
Ellison Reynoldson
Estimated games
20.5
Recent form · 10 last
Nao Nishino
8-2 (W-L)
Ellison Reynoldson
4-6 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Nao Nishino 1523 · Ellison Reynoldson 1414
| Nao Nishino | Ellison Reynoldson | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 65% | 35% |
| Market | 91% | 9% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Nao Nishino (rating 1523 vs 1414).
- Nao Nishino is in better form: 60% recent wins.
- Note: Nao Nishino makes many double faults (4.3/match).
Statistics
| Nao Nishino | Ellison Reynoldson | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 30% |
| Win % · Hard | 60% (10) | 30% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.5-0.8 | 0.9-1.4 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.8-8.4 | 9.2-11.2 |
| Aces | 0.7 | 1.1 |
| Double faults | 4.3 | 3.8 |
| 1st serve % | 66.8% | 54.9% |
| Break % | 61.4% | 56% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.5
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Nao Nishino
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/06 | Gyeong Seo Lee W35 Taipei · ~Hard |
1-2 | 10-8 | L |
| 17/06 | Kristiana Sidorova W35 Taipei · ~Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 15/06 | Ching Ying Chen W35 Taipei · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 11/06 | Ikumi Yamazaki W15 Tokyo · ~Hard |
1-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 10/06 | Funa Kozaki W15 Tokyo · ~Hard |
2-0 | 14-12 | W |
| 08/06 | Yujin Kim W15 Tokyo · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 29/05 | Sae Noguchi W15 Fukui · ~Hard |
1-2 | 14-16 | L |
| 28/05 | Kurumi Tamura W15 Fukui · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 27/05 | Yuno Kitahara W15 Fukui · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 26/05 | Mia Hasegawa W15 Fukui · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
Ellison Reynoldson
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/06 | Liam Oved UTR Pro Knoxville Women · Hard |
1-2 | 12-16 | L |
| 24/06 | Georgia Kulevich UTR Pro Knoxville Women · Hard |
1-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 23/06 | Kaya Moe UTR Pro Knoxville Women · Hard |
0-2 | 1-12 | L |
| 14/06 | Alexandra Wolf UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 12/06 | Anastasia Grechkina UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 11/06 | Kingsley Wolf UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 10/06 | Gabriella Lindgren UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 09/06 | Camille Kiss UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 22/05 | Mariana Manyoma UTR Pro Madison Women · Hard |
1-2 | 13-16 | L |
| 21/05 | Emmi Kolyszko UTR Pro Madison Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Nao Nishino vs Ellison Reynoldson?
Our model gives 79% to Nao Nishino, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.