Tennis · M15 Bali Qual · 26/07, 07:30
Prediction: Diordan Macababbad vs Ren Nakamura
Team pages: Diordan Macababbad · Ren Nakamura
Prediction summary
Winner
Diordan Macababbad
Ren Nakamura
Estimated games
19.4
Recent form · 10 last
Diordan Macababbad
4-6 (W-L)
Ren Nakamura
3-7 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Diordan Macababbad 1510 · Ren Nakamura 1467
| Diordan Macababbad | Ren Nakamura | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 56% | 44% |
| Market | 34% | 66% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Diordan Macababbad (rating 1510 vs 1467).
Statistics
| Diordan Macababbad | Ren Nakamura | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 40% |
| Win % · Hard | 56% (9) | 38% (8) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.1-1.2 | 0.8-1.4 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.1-9.1 | 8-10.2 |
| Aces | 0.3 | 2.7 |
| Double faults | 3.3 | 1.7 |
| 1st serve % | 53.3% | 65.6% |
| Break % | 30.3% | 52.4% |
Estimated total games (ours)
19.4
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Diordan Macababbad
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/07 | Corban Crowther M15 Bali |
1-2 | 10-9 | L |
| 09/07 | Jack Bruce-Smith UTR Pro Phan Thiet · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 08/07 | Imran Daniel Abdul Hazli UTR Pro Phan Thiet · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 07/07 | Rodion Malmygin UTR Pro Phan Thiet · Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 06/07 | Eita Suzuki UTR Pro Phan Thiet · Hard |
2-1 | 18-8 | W |
| 05/07 | Sothoeun Yoeun UTR Pro Phan Thiet · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 30/06 | Xing Dao Chen M15 Wuning · ~Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 24/06 | Hiiro Sakamoto UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 24/06 | Jonathan Irwanto UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
2-1 | 17-14 | W |
| 23/06 | Ryota Tanuma UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
0-2 | 1-12 | L |
Ren Nakamura
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/07 | Keisuke Saitoh M15 Bali |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 20/07 | Corban Crowther M15 Bali |
2-1 | 9-9 | W |
| 08/07 | Taiyo Yamanaka M15 Tokyo · ~Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 07/07 | Taketo Takamisawa M15 Tokyo · ~Hard |
2-1 | 11-12 | W |
| 30/06 | Ryota Tanuma M15 Tokyo · ~Hard |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 29/04 | Maxwell McKennon M15 Villahermosa · ~Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 29/04 | Wulfrano Martinez Mora Esdras M15 Villahermosa · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 21/04 | Drew Van Orderlain M25 Xalapa · ~Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 26/03 | Scott Jones M15 Swan Hill · ~Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 26/03 | Petar Jovic M15 Swan Hill · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Diordan Macababbad vs Ren Nakamura?
Our model gives 56% to Ren Nakamura, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.