Tennis · UTR Pro Columbus · 28/07, 19:00
Prediction: Drew Fishback vs Evan Sharygin
Team pages: Drew Fishback
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Prediction summary
Winner
Drew Fishback
Evan Sharygin
Estimated games
22.6
Recent form · 10 last
Drew Fishback
8-2 (W-L)
Evan Sharygin
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Drew Fishback 1563 · Evan Sharygin 1473
| Drew Fishback | Evan Sharygin | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 63% | 37% |
| Market | 75% | 25% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Drew Fishback (rating 1563 vs 1473).
- Evan Sharygin dominates on serve: 6 aces and 53.5% break avg.
- Drew Fishback is in better form: 70% recent wins.
- Note: Evan Sharygin makes many double faults (13.3/match).
Statistics
| Drew Fishback | Evan Sharygin | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 40% |
| Win % · Hard | 75% (8) | 40% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.5-0.7 | 1.2-1.6 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.1-9.5 | 12.2-13.8 |
| Aces | 2.2 | 6 |
| Double faults | 1.6 | 13.3 |
| 1st serve % | 68.9% | 70% |
| Break % | 41.2% | 53.5% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.6
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Drew Fishback
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/07 | Jerrid Gaines Jr M15 Rochester |
1-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 15/07 | Anuj Watane M15 Rochester |
2-1 | 18-13 | W |
| 27/06 | Gabe Avram UTR Pro Knoxville · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 25/06 | Lincoln Battle UTR Pro Knoxville · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 24/06 | Jose Garcia UTR Pro Knoxville · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 23/06 | Davis Wiley UTR Pro Knoxville · Hard |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 23/05 | Alberto Altur Fernandez UTR Pro Madison · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 22/05 | Oscar Corwin UTR Pro Madison · Hard |
2-0 | 14-12 | W |
| 21/05 | Lachlan Brain UTR Pro Madison · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 20/05 | Drew Hedgecoe UTR Pro Madison · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
Evan Sharygin
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/07 | Adrien Jonah Abarca UTR Pro Knoxville · Hard |
2-1 | 15-11 | W |
| 18/07 | Juan David Velasquez UTR Pro Knoxville · Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 11/06 | Andrew Kotzen UTR Pro Boston · Hard |
1-2 | 10-16 | L |
| 10/06 | Ainius Sabaliauskas UTR Pro Boston · Hard |
1-2 | 11-16 | L |
| 09/06 | Cornelius Alexander Shalmi UTR Pro Boston · Hard |
1-2 | 11-15 | L |
| 22/03 | Marco Alvarez UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
1-2 | 15-18 | L |
| 20/03 | Brayden Tallakson UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 19/03 | Sklar Phillips UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
2-1 | 17-11 | W |
| 17/03 | Evan Shamlian UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
2-1 | 16-14 | W |
| 16/03 | Brody Nejedly-Krall UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
2-1 | 13-12 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Drew Fishback vs Evan Sharygin?
Our model gives 69% to Drew Fishback, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.