Tennis · M15 Bali · 26/07, 07:30

Prediction: Thanaphat Boosarawongse vs Ryuki Matsuda

Team pages: Thanaphat Boosarawongse · Ryuki Matsuda

Prediction summary
Winner
53% 47%
Thanaphat Boosarawongse Ryuki Matsuda
Estimated games
21.7
Recent form · 10 last
Thanaphat Boosarawongse 5-5 (W-L)
LLWWLWWWLL
Ryuki Matsuda 5-5 (W-L)
WLLWLLWWLW
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Thanaphat Boosarawongse 1550 · Ryuki Matsuda 1520
Thanaphat BoosarawongseRyuki Matsuda
Our model54%46%
Market51%49%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Statistics

Thanaphat BoosarawongseRyuki Matsuda
Win %80%60%
Win % · Hard 60% (5) 40% (5)
Sets (G-P)1.4-0.71.3-0.9
Games (G-P)11.9-9.611.2-10.2
Aces32.5
Double faults1.41.9
1st serve %71.5%63.8%
Break %37.8%38%
Estimated total games (ours) 21.7

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Thanaphat Boosarawongse

WWWWW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
25/07 Alexander Chang
M15 Bali
2-1 16-15 W
24/07 Sam Ryan Ziegann
M15 Bali
2-1 17-13 W
23/07 Yusuke Takahashi
M15 Bali
2-0 13-9 W
20/07 Jack Bruce-Smith
M15 Bali
2-0 12-8 W
19/07 Aniketh Venkataraman
M15 Bali
2-0 12-5 W
15/07 Fitriadi M Rifqi
M15 Wuning · ~Hard
0-2 9-13 L
14/07 Masaki Ishikawa
M15 Wuning · ~Hard
1-0 6-2 W
07/07 James Van Herzeele
M15 Wuning · ~Hard
1-0 10-7 W
11/06 Andrew Fenty
M25 Wichita · ~Hard
0-2 6-12 L
10/06 Nicolas Arseneault
M25 Wichita · ~Hard
2-1 18-12 W

Ryuki Matsuda

LWWWW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
25/07 Ryotaro Taguchi
M15 Bali
2-0 13-9 W
24/07 Taisei Ichikawa
M15 Bali
2-1 14-11 W
23/07 Rafalentino Ali Da Costa
M15 Bali
2-0 12-7 W
21/07 Manish Sureshkumar
M15 Bali
2-0 13-7 W
15/07 Mustafa Ege Sik
M25 Brisbane
0-2 7-13 L
09/07 Koki Matsuda
M15 Tokyo · ~Hard
0-2 8-13 L
08/07 Yuto Oki
M15 Tokyo · ~Hard
2-0 13-9 W
01/07 Yuto Oki
M15 Tokyo · ~Hard
1-2 13-14 L
12/06 Roger Pascual Ferra
M15 Monastir · ~Hard
0-2 7-13 L
10/06 Daniil Sarksian
M15 Monastir · ~Hard
2-0 12-6 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Thanaphat Boosarawongse vs Ryuki Matsuda?

Our model gives 53% to Thanaphat Boosarawongse, using surface Elo on hard.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.