Tennis · ATP Los Cabos · 26/07, 06:00

Prediction: Borna Gojo vs Aidan Mayo

Prediction summary
Winner
65% 35%
Borna Gojo Aidan Mayo
Estimated games
23.6Bet365 line 21.5
Recent form · 10 last
Borna Gojo 6-4 (W-L)
WWLWWLWLWL
Aidan Mayo 2-8 (W-L)
WLLLLWLLLL
Head-to-head
Borna Gojo 0–1 Aidan Mayo (1 last)
  • 06 Aug0-2 7-13L
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Borna Gojo 1526 · Aidan Mayo 1467
Borna GojoAidan Mayo
Our model58%42%
Market71%29%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Borna Gojo (rating 1526 vs 1467).
  • Borna Gojo is in better form: 60% recent wins.
  • Head-to-head: Borna Gojo 0–1 Aidan Mayo (1).
  • Note: Aidan Mayo makes many double faults (5.1/match).

Statistics

Borna GojoAidan Mayo
Win %60%30%
Win % · Hard 75% (4) 33% (9)
Sets (G-P)1.2-0.91.2-1.5
Games (G-P)10.8-10.114.5-14.8
Aces18.111.2
Double faults35.1
1st serve %80%79.9%
Break %32.5%30.8%
Estimated total games (ours) 23.6 · Bet365 line 21.5 · +2.1
Over 21.5: 64% · 1.72 Under 21.5: 36% · 2.00

H2H · Borna Gojo 01 Aidan Mayo (1)

Head-to-head (H2H) · Borna Gojo 01 Aidan Mayo

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DateSetsGamesRes.
06/08/24
Challenger Lincoln
0-27-13L

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Borna Gojo

LWLWL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
23/07 Dhakshineswar Suresh
Challenger Bloomfield Hills · Hard
0-2 6-12 L
21/07 Sebastian Gorzny
Challenger Bloomfield Hills · Hard
2-0 12-4 W
24/06 Colton Smith
Wimbledon · Grass
0-2 8-12 L
22/06 Coleman Wong
Wimbledon · Grass
2-0 13-8 W
22/05 Jurij Rodionov
French Open · Clay
0-2 8-13 L
20/05 Henrique Rocha
French Open · Clay
2-1 16-15 W
19/05 Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg
French Open · Clay
2-0 12-7 W
20/04 Marco Trungelliti
ATP Madrid · Clay
0-2 7-12 L
29/03 Juan Pablo Ficovich
Challenger Morelia · Hard
2-0 13-8 W
28/03 Nicolas Mejia
Challenger Morelia · Hard
2-0 13-10 W

Aidan Mayo

WLWLL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
22/07 Alex Michelsen
Challenger Bloomfield Hills · Hard
1-2 16-19 L
20/07 Alan Magadan
Challenger Bloomfield Hills · Hard
1-2 18-17 L
19/07 Christian Langmo
Challenger Bloomfield Hills · Hard
2-1 17-13 W
15/07 August Holmgren
Challenger Granby · Hard
0-2 8-13 L
14/07 Guillaume Dalmasso
Challenger Granby · Hard
2-0 12-8 W
05/07 Stefan Kozlov
Challenger Newport · Grass
1-2 16-18 L
30/06 Daniil Glinka
Challenger Cary · Hard
1-2 18-16 L
04/06 Braden Shick
Challenger Tyler · Hard
1-2 10-14 L
30/05 Andre Ilagan
Challenger Little Rock · Hard
1-2 16-19 L
29/05 Johannus Monday
Challenger Little Rock · Hard
2-0 14-11 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Borna Gojo vs Aidan Mayo?

Our model gives 65% to Borna Gojo, using surface Elo on hard.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.