Tennis · ATP Washington · 25/07, 19:00

Prediction: Cruz Hewitt vs Dusan Lajovic

Prediction summary
Winner
30% 70%
Cruz Hewitt Dusan Lajovic
Estimated games
23.4Bet365 line 19.5
Recent form · 10 last
Cruz Hewitt 6-4 (W-L)
WWWLWWWLLL
Dusan Lajovic 6-4 (W-L)
LWLWLWWWLW
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Cruz Hewitt 1468 · Dusan Lajovic 1474
Cruz HewittDusan Lajovic
Our model49%51%
Market14%86%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Statistics

Cruz HewittDusan Lajovic
Win %40%40%
Win % · Clay 33% (3) 33% (6)
Sets (G-P)1.1-1.31.2-1.5
Games (G-P)9.8-11.313.5-13.3
Aces2.87.1
Double faults3.61.7
1st serve %66.5%67.2%
Break %44%32%
Estimated total games (ours) 23.4 · Bet365 line 19.5 · +3.9
Over 19.5: 75% · 1.80 Under 19.5: 25% · 1.90

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Cruz Hewitt

LLLWL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
15/06 Quinn Vandecasteele
Challenger Dublin · Grass
0-2 5-12 L
14/06 Edas Butvilas
Challenger Dublin · Grass
2-1 15-14 W
10/06 Niels McDonald
M25 Varnamo · ~Hard
0-2 7-12 L
03/06 Mariano Dedura-Palomero
M15 Rosbach · ~Clay
1-2 12-14 L
28/05 Kai Wehnelt
M25 Troisdorf · ~Clay
1-2 11-16 L
27/05 John Sperle
M25 Troisdorf · ~Clay
2-0 12-7 W
08/05 Takuya Kumasaka
M25 Nakhon Pathom · ~Hard
0-2 6-13 L
07/05 Isaac Becroft
M25 Nakhon Pathom · ~Hard
2-0 11-6 W
06/05 Kasidit Samrej
M25 Nakhon Pathom · ~Hard
2-0 8-4 W
01/05 Masamichi Imamura
M25 Nakhon Pathom · ~Hard
1-2 11-15 L

Dusan Lajovic

WWLLL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
13/07 Luca Van Assche
ATP Umag · Clay
1-2 15-15 L
30/06 Taylor Fritz
Wimbledon · Grass
0-3 10-18 L
25/06 Vilius Gaubas
Wimbledon · Grass
2-3 23-24 L
24/06 Chris Rodesch
Wimbledon · Grass
2-0 12-6 W
22/06 Lukas Neumayer
Wimbledon · Grass
2-0 12-8 W
12/06 Oriol Roca Batalla
Challenger Cattolica · Clay
1-2 18-18 L
09/06 Jonas Forejtek
Challenger Cattolica · Clay
2-1 17-13 W
04/06 Henrique Rocha
Challenger Perugia · Clay
0-2 9-13 L
02/06 Gonzalo Bueno
Challenger Perugia · Clay
2-0 12-5 W
19/05 Jurij Rodionov
French Open · Clay
0-2 7-13 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Cruz Hewitt vs Dusan Lajovic?

Our model gives 70% to Dusan Lajovic, using surface Elo on clay.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.