Tennis · W35 Saskatoon · 24/07, 19:00
Prediction: Lizette Cabrera vs Emma Dong
Prediction summary
Winner
Lizette Cabrera
Emma Dong
Estimated games
20.9
Recent form · 10 last
Lizette Cabrera
5-5 (W-L)
Emma Dong
8-2 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Lizette Cabrera 1531 · Emma Dong 1595
| Lizette Cabrera | Emma Dong | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 41% | 59% |
| Market | 79% | 21% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Emma Dong (rating 1531 vs 1595).
- Emma Dong is in better form: 90% recent wins.
- Note: Lizette Cabrera makes many double faults (6.7/match).
Statistics
| Lizette Cabrera | Emma Dong | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 90% |
| Win % · Hard | 33% (3) | 100% (5) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.4-1.2 | 1.8-0.3 |
| Games (G-P) | 13.2-11.8 | 11.9-4.9 |
| Aces | 2.2 | 1.3 |
| Double faults | 6.7 | 3.1 |
| 1st serve % | 62.2% | 75.6% |
| Break % | 55.4% | 44.8% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.9
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Lizette Cabrera
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/07 | Anna Tabunshchyk W35 Saskatoon |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 23/07 | Dasha Ivanova W35 Saskatoon |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 15/07 | Lea Ma W75 Granby |
1-2 | 14-16 | L |
| 13/07 | Dasha Plekhanova W75 Granby |
2-1 | 16-14 | W |
| 19/05 | Sohyun Park W100 Takasaki · ~Hard |
1-2 | 12-13 | L |
| 15/05 | Mei Yamaguchi W75 Kurume · ~Carpet |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 14/05 | Kisa Yoshioka W75 Kurume · ~Carpet |
2-1 | 18-14 | W |
| 12/05 | Katy Dunne W75 Kurume · ~Carpet |
2-1 | 17-13 | W |
| 08/05 | Zhuoxuan Bai WTA Jiujiang · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 06/05 | Zongyu Li WTA Jiujiang · Hard |
2-1 | 18-11 | W |
Emma Dong
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/07 | Lilian Poling W35 Saskatoon |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 22/07 | Mio Mushika W35 Saskatoon |
2-1 | 18-12 | W |
| 14/07 | Ariana Arseneault W75 Granby |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 13/07 | Lilian Poling W75 Granby |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 12/07 | Mariya Dobreva W75 Granby |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 20/06 | Alexia Jacobs UTR Pro Seattle Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 19/06 | Gabriella Davydov UTR Pro Seattle Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 18/06 | Sofia De Looze UTR Pro Seattle Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 17/06 | Bhakti Shah UTR Pro Seattle Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 16/06 | Natalie Lynch UTR Pro Seattle Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Lizette Cabrera vs Emma Dong?
Our model gives 62% to Lizette Cabrera, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.